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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Grimsby Town vs Rotherham United 100,000 times. Grimsby Town won 64,080 of them (64.1%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and Rotherham United won 16.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 54.6% of simulations.
| Grimsby Town win | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Rotherham United win | 16.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Grimsby Town score first | 63% |
| Rotherham United score first | 32.6% |
| Grimsby Town clean sheet | 37.8% |
| Rotherham United clean sheet | 12% |
Gillingham
Crewe Alexandra
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Swindon Town
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
1.4–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Rochdale
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Accrington Stanley
Salford City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury Town
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Port Vale
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Colchester United
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646726 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grimsby Town are favourites. They win 64.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 16.5% for Rotherham United. Including the draw, Grimsby Town avoid defeat 83.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations. Grimsby Town keep a clean sheet 37.8% of the time and Rotherham United 12%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 2.16 for Grimsby Town and 0.98 for Rotherham United. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.