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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury Town 100,000 times. Chesterfield won 61,235 of them (61.2%), the draw came up 21.4% of the time and Shrewsbury Town won 17.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Chesterfield win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
| Chesterfield win | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.4% |
| Shrewsbury Town win | 17.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.7% |
| Chesterfield score first | 66.6% |
| Shrewsbury Town score first | 28.3% |
| Chesterfield clean sheet | 36.4% |
| Shrewsbury Town clean sheet | 12.8% |
Gillingham
Crewe Alexandra
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Swindon Town
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
1.4–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Rochdale
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Accrington Stanley
Salford City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Port Vale
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Colchester United
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
Rotherham United
2.2–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646586 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chesterfield are favourites. They win 61.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.4% for the draw and 17.3% for Shrewsbury Town. Including the draw, Chesterfield avoid defeat 82.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Chesterfield keep a clean sheet 36.4% of the time and Shrewsbury Town 12.8%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 2.09 for Chesterfield and 1.02 for Shrewsbury Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.8% and over 3.5 goals 37.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.