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  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Accrington Stanley vs Salford City
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Accrington Stanley vs Salford City prediction

We simulated Accrington Stanley vs Salford City 100,000 times. Salford City won 43,257 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Accrington Stanley won 29.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Salford City win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations.

Accrington Stanley badge
Accrington Stanley Wham Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Salford City badge
Salford City Away
29.8% 29,776 wins
27% Draw
43.3% 43,257 wins
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.59
Likeliest score
1-1 12.6% Top Salford City win: 1-2 9%
Both score
58.1%
Over 2.5
54.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington Stanley vs Salford City in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 21 November, 15:00

Accrington Stanley vs Salford City simulation probabilities
Accrington Stanley win29.8%
Draw27%
Salford City win43.3%
Most likely score1-1 (12.6%)
Expected goals1.28 – 1.59
Both teams to score58.1%
Over 1.5 goals78.9%
Over 2.5 goals54.4%
Over 3.5 goals32.4%
Accrington Stanley score first43.4%
Salford City score first49.5%
Accrington Stanley clean sheet20.9%
Salford City clean sheet28.1%

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Gillingham Crewe Alexandra 1.3–1.3 xG 47% Over 2.5 Newport County Swindon Town 1.8–1.0 xG 54% Over 2.5 Crawley Town Fleetwood Town 1.4–1.6 xG 58% Over 2.5 Northampton Town Rochdale 1.7–0.9 xG 48% Over 2.5 Chesterfield Shrewsbury Town 2.1–1.0 xG 60% Over 2.5 Barnet Port Vale 1.8–1.2 xG 57% Over 2.5 Tranmere Rovers Colchester United 1.6–1.1 xG 51% Over 2.5 Grimsby Town Rotherham United 2.2–1.0 xG 60% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420646545
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Accrington Stanley vs Salford City prediction FAQs

Who will win Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Salford City are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 29.8% for Accrington Stanley. Including the draw, Salford City avoid defeat 70.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Salford City win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations. Accrington Stanley keep a clean sheet 20.9% of the time and Salford City 28.1%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.28 for Accrington Stanley and 1.59 for Salford City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.4% and over 3.5 goals 32.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.