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EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Barnet vs Port Vale prediction

We simulated Barnet vs Port Vale 100,000 times. Barnet won 50,931 of them (50.9%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Port Vale won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Barnet win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations.

Barnet badge
Barnet The Hive Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Port Vale badge
Port Vale Away
50.9% 50,931 wins
24.1% Draw
24.9% 24,935 wins
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.19
Likeliest score
1-1 11.2% Top Barnet win: 2-1 9.5%
Both score
58.1%
Over 2.5
57.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated The Hive Stadium, London

Barnet vs Port Vale in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 21 November, 15:00

Barnet vs Port Vale simulation probabilities
Barnet win50.9%
Draw24.1%
Port Vale win24.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.2%)
Expected goals1.80 – 1.19
Both teams to score58.1%
Over 1.5 goals80.1%
Over 2.5 goals57.2%
Over 3.5 goals35.1%
Barnet score first50.8%
Port Vale score first43.4%
Barnet clean sheet30.7%
Port Vale clean sheet17%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420646593
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Barnet vs Port Vale prediction FAQs

Who will win Barnet vs Port Vale?

Barnet are favourites. They win 50.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 24.9% for Port Vale. Including the draw, Barnet avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Barnet vs Port Vale?

1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Barnet win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Barnet vs Port Vale?

Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations. Barnet keep a clean sheet 30.7% of the time and Port Vale 17%.

How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Port Vale?

The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.80 for Barnet and 1.19 for Port Vale. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.2% and over 3.5 goals 35.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.