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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers 100,000 times. Bristol Rovers won 42,798 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Cheltenham Town won 31.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations.
| Cheltenham Town win | 31.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Bristol Rovers win | 42.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.31 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.5% |
| Cheltenham Town score first | 44.6% |
| Bristol Rovers score first | 48.9% |
| Cheltenham Town clean sheet | 21.3% |
| Bristol Rovers clean sheet | 27.4% |
Gillingham
Crewe Alexandra
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Newport County
Swindon Town
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
1.4–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Northampton Town
Rochdale
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Accrington Stanley
Salford City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury Town
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Barnet
Port Vale
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Colchester United
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646855 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol Rovers are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 31.4% for Cheltenham Town. Including the draw, Bristol Rovers avoid defeat 68.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations. Cheltenham Town keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Bristol Rovers 27.4%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.31 for Cheltenham Town and 1.57 for Bristol Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.6% and over 3.5 goals 32.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.