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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United 100,000 times. Cambridge United won 38,776 of them (38.8%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Leyton Orient won 33.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations.
| Leyton Orient win | 33.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Cambridge United win | 38.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Leyton Orient score first | 46.6% |
| Cambridge United score first | 45.9% |
| Leyton Orient clean sheet | 24.3% |
| Cambridge United clean sheet | 27% |
Plymouth Argyle
Reading
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Huddersfield Town
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Wigan Athletic
Bromley
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Luton Town
1.6–1.9
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Doncaster Rovers
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Barnsley
Oxford United
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Stevenage
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Notts County
1.9–1.0
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646973 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cambridge United are favourites. They win 38.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 33.9% for Leyton Orient. Including the draw, Cambridge United avoid defeat 66.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.2% of simulations. Leyton Orient keep a clean sheet 24.3% of the time and Cambridge United 27%.
The simulations average 2.75 goals: 1.32 for Leyton Orient and 1.43 for Cambridge United. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.7% and over 3.5 goals 29.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.