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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Plymouth Argyle vs Reading 100,000 times. Plymouth Argyle won 41,238 of them (41.2%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Reading won 31.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Plymouth Argyle win | 41.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Reading win | 31.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.5% |
| Plymouth Argyle score first | 50% |
| Reading score first | 43.3% |
| Plymouth Argyle clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Reading clean sheet | 19.9% |
Leyton Orient
Cambridge United
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Huddersfield Town
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Wigan Athletic
Bromley
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Luton Town
1.6–1.9
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Doncaster Rovers
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Barnsley
Oxford United
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Stevenage
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Notts County
1.9–1.0
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647010 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Plymouth Argyle are favourites. They win 41.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 31.8% for Reading. Including the draw, Plymouth Argyle avoid defeat 68.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Plymouth Argyle keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and Reading 19.9%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 1.64 for Plymouth Argyle and 1.42 for Reading. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.7% and over 3.5 goals 36.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.