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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster Rovers 100,000 times. Milton Keynes Dons won 51,582 of them (51.6%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Doncaster Rovers won 24.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Milton Keynes Dons win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations.
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 51.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Doncaster Rovers win | 24.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.87 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 59.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.2% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 56.1% |
| Doncaster Rovers score first | 38.5% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 29.9% |
| Doncaster Rovers clean sheet | 15.8% |
Leyton Orient
Cambridge United
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
Reading
1.6–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Huddersfield Town
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Wigan Athletic
Bromley
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Luton Town
1.6–1.9
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Barnsley
Oxford United
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Stevenage
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Notts County
1.9–1.0
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646971 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. They win 51.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 24.1% for Doncaster Rovers. Including the draw, Milton Keynes Dons avoid defeat 75.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Milton Keynes Dons win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.9% of simulations. Milton Keynes Dons keep a clean sheet 29.9% of the time and Doncaster Rovers 15.8%.
The simulations average 3.09 goals: 1.87 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.22 for Doncaster Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.3% and over 3.5 goals 37.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.