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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Portsmouth vs Stoke City 100,000 times. Portsmouth won 42,679 of them (42.7%), the draw came up 28.1% of the time and Stoke City won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Portsmouth win is 1-0 (10.7%). Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations.
| Portsmouth win | 42.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Stoke City win | 29.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 50.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% |
| Portsmouth score first | 46.6% |
| Stoke City score first | 44% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 33.4% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 25.2% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644083 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portsmouth are favourites. They win 42.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.1% for the draw and 29.2% for Stoke City. Including the draw, Portsmouth avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.7%) and 0-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Portsmouth win is 1-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations. Portsmouth keep a clean sheet 33.4% of the time and Stoke City 25.2%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 1.40 for Portsmouth and 1.11 for Stoke City. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.6% and over 3.5 goals 24.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.