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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Preston North End vs Southampton 100,000 times. Southampton won 55,643 of them (55.6%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Preston North End won 21.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
| Preston North End win | 21.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Southampton win | 55.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.13 – 1.96 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.3% |
| Preston North End score first | 38.5% |
| Southampton score first | 55.9% |
| Preston North End clean sheet | 14.6% |
| Southampton clean sheet | 32.6% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644004 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Southampton are favourites. They win 55.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 21.1% for Preston North End. Including the draw, Southampton avoid defeat 78.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. Preston North End keep a clean sheet 14.6% of the time and Southampton 32.6%.
The simulations average 3.09 goals: 1.13 for Preston North End and 1.96 for Southampton. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.4% and over 3.5 goals 37.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.