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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City 100,000 times. Queens Park Rangers won 58,795 of them (58.8%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Lincoln City won 20.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.
| Queens Park Rangers win | 58.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Lincoln City win | 20.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.5% |
| Queens Park Rangers score first | 60.4% |
| Lincoln City score first | 35.3% |
| Queens Park Rangers clean sheet | 35.3% |
| Lincoln City clean sheet | 14.5% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643979 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Queens Park Rangers are favourites. They win 58.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 20.6% for Lincoln City. Including the draw, Queens Park Rangers avoid defeat 79.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Queens Park Rangers keep a clean sheet 35.3% of the time and Lincoln City 14.5%.
The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.96 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.05 for Lincoln City. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.