Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Watford vs Middlesbrough 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 58,598 of them (58.6%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and Watford won 19.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.7% of simulations.
| Watford win | 19.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Middlesbrough win | 58.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 2.17 |
| Both teams to score | 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.9% |
| Watford score first | 34.3% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 61.1% |
| Watford clean sheet | 11.9% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 31.1% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643998 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 58.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 19.2% for Watford. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 80.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.7% of simulations. Watford keep a clean sheet 11.9% of the time and Middlesbrough 31.1%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.18 for Watford and 2.17 for Middlesbrough. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.6% and over 3.5 goals 42.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.