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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Wrexham vs Middlesbrough 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 50,108 of them (50.1%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Wrexham won 25.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Wrexham win | 25.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Middlesbrough win | 50.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Wrexham score first | 38.5% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 55.6% |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 17% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 29.9% |
Portsmouth
Swansea City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Sheffield United
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Watford
Lincoln City
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers
Stoke City
1.4–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Norwich City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bolton Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Millwall
1.8–1.1
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644007 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 50.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 25.4% for Wrexham. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Wrexham keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Middlesbrough 29.9%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.22 for Wrexham and 1.80 for Middlesbrough. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.