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Zambia
Burundi
Zambia have scored 0.44 goals a game and conceded 1.11 across their last 9 home games in all competitions, while Burundi have scored 0.57 and conceded 1.29 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Zambia's last 9 home games and none of Burundi's last 7 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Zambia's last 9 home games and 1 of Burundi's last 7 away games. Zambia have won 2 of their last 9 home games and Burundi 1 of their last 7 away games. Zambia's last 9 home games have averaged 8.4 corners and Burundi's last 7 away games 9.4. Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 20:19 UK.
Zambia's last 9 home games and Burundi's last 7 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Zambia vs Burundi kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Zambia.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Zambia a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burundi 22%.
Zambia have scored 0.44 goals a game and conceded 1.11 across their last 9 home games in all competitions, while Burundi have scored 0.57 and conceded 1.29 across their last 7 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Zambia's last 9 home games and none of Burundi's last 7 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Zambia's last 9 home games and 1 of Burundi's last 7 away games.
Zambia are 2nd in Group I with 3 points from 2 games. Burundi are 4th in Group I with 1 point from 2 games.
Zambia2W 1D 6L · 9 home games
Burundi1W 0D 6L · 7 away games
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 922% | Win | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 911% | Draw | 0 of 70% |
| 6 of 967% | Loss | 6 of 786% |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 0.78 | Points per game | 0.43 |
| -6 | Goal difference | -5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.07 | xG per game | 0.01 |
| 0.28 | xGA per game | 0.29 |
| 3.33 | xG performance | 3.94 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 46% | Possession | 43% |
| 48.67 | Dangerous attacks | 34.00 |
| 54.33 | Dangerous attacks against | 66.29 |
| Shots | ||
| 8.44 | Shots for | 4.57 |
| 11.56 | Shots against | 12.00 |
| 2.00 | On target for | 1.14 |
| 3.89 | On target against | 4.57 |
| 5% | Shot conversion | 13% |
| 24% | On-target accuracy | 25% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 9.44 | Tackles | 8.00 |
| 10.89 | Fouls committed | 13.71 |
| 13.44 | Fouls won | 10.43 |
| 1.11 | Offsides | 1.57 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 1.56 | Goals per game (total) | 1.86 |
| 4 | Goals scored | 4 |
| 0.44 | Scored per game | 0.57 |
| 10 | Goals conceded | 9 |
| 1.11 | Conceded per game | 1.29 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 933% | Scored first | 1 of 714% |
| 6 of 967% | Failed to score | 6 of 786% |
| 3 of 933% | Clean sheet | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 911% | BTTS | 0 of 70% |
| 1 of 911% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 0 of 70% |
| 2 of 922% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Total goals | ||
| 8 of 989% | Over 0.5 | 7 of 7100% |
| 4 of 944% | Over 1.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 2.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 0 of 90% | Over 3.5 | 1 of 714% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 3 of 933% | Scored 1+ | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 911% | Scored 2+ | 1 of 714% |
| 0 of 90% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 967% | Conceded 1+ | 6 of 786% |
| 3 of 933% | Conceded 2+ | 3 of 743% |
| 1 of 911% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 70% |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 2 of 922% | Winning at HT | 1 of 714% |
| 4 of 944% | Drawing at HT | 2 of 729% |
| 3 of 933% | Losing at HT | 4 of 757% |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.44 | Total corners | 9.43 |
| 4.44 | Corners for | 3.00 |
| 4.00 | Corners against | 6.43 |
| 5 of 956% | Most corners | 0 of 70% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 6 of 967% | Over 7.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 3 of 933% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 11.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 1 of 911% | Over 12.5 | 3 of 743% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 5 of 956% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 944% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 2 of 922% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 70% |
| 1 of 911% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 70% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 944% | Against over 4.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 2 of 922% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 1 of 911% | Against over 6.5 | 3 of 743% |
| By half | ||
| 4.11 | 1H total | 4.43 |
| 2.11 | 1H for | 0.86 |
| 2.00 | 1H against | 3.57 |
| 4.33 | 2H total | 5.29 |
| 2.33 | 2H for | 2.14 |
| 2.00 | 2H against | 3.14 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 4.00 | Total cards | 2.57 |
| 2.22 | Cards received | 1.14 |
| 1.78 | Opponent cards | 1.43 |
| 4 of 944% | Most cards | 1 of 714% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 978% | Over 2.5 | 3 of 743% |
| 6 of 967% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 4 of 944% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 2 of 922% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 70% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 8 of 989% | Received 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 7 of 978% | Received 2+ | 2 of 729% |
| 3 of 933% | Received 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 967% | Opponent 1+ | 6 of 786% |
| 5 of 956% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 757% |
| 4 of 944% | Opponent 3+ | 0 of 70% |
| By half | ||
| 1.11 | 1H total | 0.86 |
| 0.78 | 1H received | 0.43 |
| 2.33 | 2H total | 1.43 |
| 1.22 | 2H received | 0.57 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 20.00 | Total shots (match) | 16.57 |
| 5.89 | Total on target (match) | 5.71 |
| 22% | On-target conversion | 50% |
Zambia's last 9 home games and Burundi's last 7 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Zambia2W 2D 6L · 10 games
Burundi3W 1D 6L · 10 games
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Win | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Draw | 1 of 1010% |
| 6 of 1060% | Loss | 6 of 1060% |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 0.80 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| -8 | Goal difference | 5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.07 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.26 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 5.33 | xG performance | 15.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 46% | Possession | 47% |
| 45.30 | Dangerous attacks | 26.60 |
| 58.70 | Dangerous attacks against | 44.10 |
| Shots | ||
| 9.70 | Shots for | 4.90 |
| 13.80 | Shots against | 6.80 |
| 2.60 | On target for | 1.80 |
| 4.80 | On target against | 2.20 |
| 6% | Shot conversion | 31% |
| 27% | On-target accuracy | 37% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 10.40 | Tackles | 3.60 |
| 12.40 | Fouls committed | 12.70 |
| 14.70 | Fouls won | 10.00 |
| 1.50 | Offsides | 1.80 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.00 | Goals per game (total) | 2.50 |
| 6 | Goals scored | 15 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game | 1.50 |
| 14 | Goals conceded | 10 |
| 1.40 | Conceded per game | 1.00 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Scored first | 4 of 1040% |
| 5 of 1050% | Failed to score | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Clean sheet | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | BTTS | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 1.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Scored 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Winning at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 5 of 1050% | Drawing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Losing at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 9.80 | Total corners | 6.60 |
| 4.70 | Corners for | 2.90 |
| 5.10 | Corners against | 3.70 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most corners | 2 of 1020% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 7.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 9.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 12.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | For over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 5 of 1050% | For over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 5.00 | 1H total | 3.20 |
| 2.20 | 1H for | 1.20 |
| 2.80 | 1H against | 2.00 |
| 4.80 | 2H total | 3.40 |
| 2.50 | 2H for | 1.70 |
| 2.30 | 2H against | 1.70 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.80 | Total cards | 2.80 |
| 2.30 | Cards received | 1.10 |
| 1.50 | Opponent cards | 1.70 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most cards | 1 of 1010% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 7 of 1070% | Received 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Received 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 1.00 | 1H total | 1.40 |
| 0.50 | 1H received | 0.50 |
| 3.00 | 2H total | 1.50 |
| 1.80 | 2H received | 0.60 |
| Zambia | Stat | Burundi |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 23.50 | Total shots (match) | 11.70 |
| 7.40 | Total on target (match) | 4.00 |
| 23% | On-target conversion | 83% |
Zambia's last 10 games and Burundi's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 20:19 UK.
Zambia are without 2 players and Burundi had no reported absences.
No reported absences.
Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Algeria |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | |
| 2 | Zambia |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Togo |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | |
| 4 | Burundi |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027 standings as of 12 Nov 2026, 22:53 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.65Pinnacle | Shortened 1%from 1.67 | 51% |
| Draw | 3.65Kambi Group | No changefrom 3.65 | 27% |
| Burundi | 5.75Bet365 | Shortened 8%from 6.25 | 22% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia or Draw | 1.15WilliamHill | No changefrom 1.15 | 78% |
| Draw or Burundi | 2.20Bet365 | No changefrom 2.20 | 49% |
| Zambia or Burundi | 1.30WilliamHill | Drifted 4%from 1.25 | 73% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.22WilliamHill | No changefrom 1.22 | 69% |
| Burundi | 4.33Bet365 | Shortened 21%from 5.50 | 31% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 2.37Bet365 | Shortened 10%from 2.62 | 44% |
| BTTS No | 1.62WilliamHill | No changefrom 1.62 | 56% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.44Pinnacle | Drifted 1%from 1.43 | 67% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.75Bet365 | Drifted 5%from 2.62 | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.36Pinnacle | Drifted 2%from 2.32 | 43% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.57Bet365 | No changefrom 1.57 | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 4.33Bet365 | No changefrom 4.33 | 24% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.20Bet365 | No changefrom 1.20 | 76% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 2.231xBet | Drifted 9%from 2.04 | – |
| Draw | 2.09Pinnacle | No changefrom 2.09 | – |
| Burundi | 6.481xBet | Shortened 7%from 6.96 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 16:50. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Zambia vs Burundi predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation