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Egypt vs Malawi

Egypt host Malawi in the Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:00. Our model makes Egypt favourites at 64%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, Egypt won 3, Malawi won 1 and 0 were drawn.

Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Save
Egypt
19:00
13 Nov
Malawi
Cairo International Stadium, Cairo Referee: Abdel Aziz Mohamed Bouh

Egypt vs Malawi preview

Egypt have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Malawi have scored 0.63 and conceded 1.13 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Egypt's last 10 home games and 2 of Malawi's last 8 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 9 of Egypt's last 10 home games and 6 of Malawi's last 8 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Malawi's last 8 away games. Egypt's last 10 home games have averaged 10.4 corners and Malawi's last 8 away games 11.1. Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 20:31 UK.

  • Goals scored Egypt: 1.20 Malawi: 0.63
  • Goals conceded Egypt: 0.90 Malawi: 1.13
  • Both teams scored Egypt: 5 of 1050% Malawi: 2 of 825%
  • Over 2.5 goals Egypt: 4 of 1040% Malawi: 2 of 825%
  • Match corners Egypt: 10.40 Malawi: 11.13
  • Match cards Egypt: 4.20 Malawi: 3.38

Egypt's last 10 home games and Malawi's last 8 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

64%Egypt 24%Draw 13%Malawi

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Egypt vs Malawi: questions and answers

When is Egypt vs Malawi?

Egypt vs Malawi kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Cairo International Stadium, Cairo.

Who is the favourite in Egypt vs Malawi?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Egypt a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malawi 13%.

How many goals do Egypt and Malawi games have?

Egypt have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Malawi have scored 0.63 and conceded 1.13 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Egypt's last 10 home games and 2 of Malawi's last 8 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Malawi's last 8 away games.

Where are Egypt and Malawi in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications table?

Egypt are 1st in Group B with 4 points from 2 games. Malawi are 3rd in Group B with 3 points from 2 games.

Egypt vs Malawi stats

Egypt5W 4D 1L · 10 home games
Malawi2W 2D 4L · 8 away games
Egypt vs Malawi general stats: Egypt's last 10 home games and Malawi's last 8 away games in all competitions
EgyptStatMalawi
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 2 of 825%
4 of 1040% Draw 2 of 825%
1 of 1010% Loss 4 of 850%
19 Points 8
1.90 Points per game 1.00
3 Goal difference -4
Expected goals
0.78 xG per game 0.00
0.65 xGA per game 0.00
4.20 xG performance 5.00
Possession & attacks
56% Possession 43%
57.00 Dangerous attacks 52.25
40.30 Dangerous attacks against 65.88
Shots
14.00 Shots for 6.50
10.30 Shots against 9.38
4.80 On target for 2.13
3.70 On target against 3.50
9% Shot conversion 10%
34% On-target accuracy 33%
Tackles & fouls
18.10 Tackles 4.25
15.10 Fouls committed 6.25
12.20 Fouls won 6.63
1.70 Offsides 0.63

Egypt's last 10 home games and Malawi's last 8 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 20:31 UK.

Egypt vs Malawi lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Egypt vs Malawi players

Egypt

Top scorer
Emam Ashour 2 goals in 5 caps
Top creator
Mohamed Salah 2 assists in 5 caps

In form

  1. Mohamed Salah Winger 7.58 Key passes 97% NP goals 96% xG 96%
  2. Ibrahim Adel Winger 7.41 NP goals 97% xG 97% Shots 95%
  3. Mohanad Lasheen Defensive midfielder 7.41 Duel % 99% Tackles 97% Final third 87%
  4. Zizo Winger 7.35 Key passes 97% Assists 95% Crosses 95%
  5. Mahmoud Saber Central midfielder 7.31 Shots 99% G+A 96% Final third 91%

Form rating weights recent games most. Percentages compare each player with others in his role. For national teams, form comes from club games and scorers count internationals over the last 18 months.

Player rankings

  1. 1 Egypt Ibrahim Adel 1.61
  2. 2 Egypt Mohamed Salah 1.57
  3. 3 Egypt Haissem Hassan 1.29
  4. 4 Egypt Omar Marmoush 1.06
  5. 5 Egypt Mahmoud Trezeguet 0.95

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Egypt vs Malawi form

Egypt L W D L D
Malawi L W D L L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Egypt vs Malawi head to head

3 Egypt wins 0 draws 1 Malawi wins
2.5 goals per game 25% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Malawi 13:00 Egypt
  2. 13 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Egypt 19:00 Malawi
  3. 28 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Malawi 0–4 Egypt
  4. 24 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Egypt 2–0 Malawi
  5. 8 Jun 2015Friendly International Egypt 2–1 Malawi
  6. 14 Jun 2008CAF World Cup Qualifiers Malawi 1–0 Egypt

Egypt vs Malawi standings

Group B

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Group B table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Egypt 211050 +5 4
2 Angola 211031 +2 4
3 Malawi 210134 -1 3
4 South Sudan 200217 -6 0
  • Egypt
  • Malawi

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027 standings as of 12 Nov 2026, 22:11 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Egypt vs Malawi odds

Best price across 6 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Egypt 1.12Betano Shortened 4%from 1.17 64%
Draw 8.701xBet Drifted 38%from 6.32 24%
Malawi 29.00WilliamHill Drifted 12%from 26.00 13%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Egypt or Draw 1.011xBet No changefrom 1.01 88%
Draw or Malawi 6.701xBet Drifted 46%from 4.60 36%
Egypt or Malawi 1.08WilliamHill No changefrom 1.08 76%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Egypt 1.02WilliamHill No changefrom 1.02 84%
Malawi 26.00WilliamHill Drifted 13%from 23.00 16%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 3.75Bet365 Drifted 15%from 3.25 37%
BTTS No 1.30Betano Shortened 3%from 1.34 63%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.20Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.22 66%
Under 1.5 4.33Bet365 Drifted 8%from 4.00 34%
Over 2.5 1.66Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.70 40%
Under 2.5 2.22Pinnacle Shortened 3%from 2.28 61%
Over 3.5 2.62Bet365 Shortened 5%from 2.75 19%
Under 3.5 1.45Pinnacle Shortened 2%from 1.48 81%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Egypt 1.45Pinnacle Drifted 3%from 1.41 –
Draw 2.98Pinnacle Shortened 1%from 3.00 –
Malawi 19.501xBet Drifted 8%from 18.00 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 22:09. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

64%Egypt 24%Draw 13%Malawi
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Egypt vs Malawi predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation