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Gabon
Lesotho
Gabon have scored 1.88 goals a game and conceded 2.00 across their last 8 home games in all competitions, while Lesotho have scored 0.40 and conceded 2.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Gabon's last 8 home games and 2 of Lesotho's last 10 away games. Lesotho have won 2 of their last 10 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 6 of Gabon's last 8 home games. Gabon's last 8 home games have averaged 10.1 corners and Lesotho's last 10 away games 6.4. Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 19:31 UK.
Gabon's last 8 home games and Lesotho's last 10 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Gabon vs Lesotho kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Stade de Franceville.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Gabon a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lesotho 18%.
Gabon have scored 1.88 goals a game and conceded 2.00 across their last 8 home games in all competitions, while Lesotho have scored 0.40 and conceded 2.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Gabon's last 8 home games and 2 of Lesotho's last 10 away games.
Gabon are 2nd in Group A with 3 points from 2 games. Lesotho are 4th in Group A with 0 points from 2 games.
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 3 of 838% | Win | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 813% | Draw | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 850% | Loss | 6 of 1060% |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 1.25 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| -1 | Goal difference | -19 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.57 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.91 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 10.44 | xG performance | 4.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 49% | Possession | 42% |
| 45.75 | Dangerous attacks | 30.80 |
| 36.75 | Dangerous attacks against | 40.90 |
| Shots | ||
| 10.00 | Shots for | 5.40 |
| 9.13 | Shots against | 10.10 |
| 4.50 | On target for | 1.50 |
| 2.38 | On target against | 4.50 |
| 19% | Shot conversion | 7% |
| 45% | On-target accuracy | 28% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 9.00 | Tackles | 3.70 |
| 11.38 | Fouls committed | 5.10 |
| 12.38 | Fouls won | 5.40 |
| 1.38 | Offsides | 1.40 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.88 | Goals per game (total) | 2.70 |
| 15 | Goals scored | 4 |
| 1.88 | Scored per game | 0.40 |
| 16 | Goals conceded | 23 |
| 2.00 | Conceded per game | 2.30 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 863% | Scored first | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 813% | Failed to score | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 850% | Clean sheet | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 850% | BTTS | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 850% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 5 of 863% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| Total goals | ||
| 7 of 888% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 7 of 888% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 863% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 888% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 6 of 875% | Scored 2+ | 0 of 100% |
| 2 of 825% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 4 of 850% | Conceded 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 850% | Conceded 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 850% | Conceded 3+ | 4 of 1040% |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 2 of 825% | Winning at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| 4 of 850% | Drawing at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 825% | Losing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 10.13 | Total corners | 6.40 |
| 5.25 | Corners for | 2.20 |
| 4.88 | Corners against | 4.20 |
| 3 of 838% | Most corners | 2 of 1020% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 7 of 888% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 6 of 875% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 6 of 875% | Over 9.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 4 of 850% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 850% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 3 of 838% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 813% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 838% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 838% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 838% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 5.38 | 1H total | 3.70 |
| 2.50 | 1H for | 0.90 |
| 2.88 | 1H against | 2.80 |
| 4.75 | 2H total | 3.10 |
| 2.75 | 2H for | 1.30 |
| 2.00 | 2H against | 1.80 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 2.88 | Total cards | 3.10 |
| 1.38 | Cards received | 2.20 |
| 1.50 | Opponent cards | 0.90 |
| 2 of 825% | Most cards | 5 of 1050% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 863% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 3.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 1 of 813% | Over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 80% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 6 of 875% | Received 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 3 of 838% | Received 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 813% | Received 3+ | 5 of 1050% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 7 of 888% | Opponent 1+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 850% | Opponent 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 813% | Opponent 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| By half | ||
| 1.75 | 1H total | 0.90 |
| 1.00 | 1H received | 0.70 |
| 1.13 | 2H total | 1.80 |
| 0.38 | 2H received | 1.30 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 19.13 | Total shots (match) | 15.50 |
| 6.88 | Total on target (match) | 6.00 |
| 42% | On-target conversion | 27% |
Gabon's last 8 home games and Lesotho's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Win | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | Draw | 1 of 1010% |
| 5 of 1050% | Loss | 7 of 1070% |
| 13 | Points | 7 |
| 1.30 | Points per game | 0.70 |
| 1 | Goal difference | -16 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.42 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.48 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 12.79 | xG performance | 5.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 51% | Possession | 44% |
| 47.40 | Dangerous attacks | 39.10 |
| 48.00 | Dangerous attacks against | 50.30 |
| Shots | ||
| 8.90 | Shots for | 6.10 |
| 10.10 | Shots against | 8.90 |
| 4.40 | On target for | 2.30 |
| 3.30 | On target against | 4.80 |
| 19% | Shot conversion | 8% |
| 49% | On-target accuracy | 38% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 9.40 | Tackles | 5.10 |
| 12.30 | Fouls committed | 6.70 |
| 13.10 | Fouls won | 8.20 |
| 1.50 | Offsides | 1.50 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.30 | Goals per game (total) | 2.60 |
| 17 | Goals scored | 5 |
| 1.70 | Scored per game | 0.50 |
| 16 | Goals conceded | 21 |
| 1.60 | Conceded per game | 2.10 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Scored first | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Failed to score | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Clean sheet | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 6 of 1060% | Scored 2+ | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Conceded 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Conceded 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 3+ | 4 of 1040% |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Winning at HT | 0 of 100% |
| 5 of 1050% | Drawing at HT | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 7 of 1070% |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 10.20 | Total corners | 7.10 |
| 4.80 | Corners for | 3.30 |
| 5.40 | Corners against | 3.80 |
| 4 of 1040% | Most corners | 3 of 1030% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 7.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | For over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 100% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Against over 4.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 4.90 | 1H total | 3.50 |
| 2.30 | 1H for | 1.20 |
| 2.60 | 1H against | 2.30 |
| 5.50 | 2H total | 3.60 |
| 2.60 | 2H for | 2.10 |
| 2.90 | 2H against | 1.50 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.60 | Total cards | 3.20 |
| 1.70 | Cards received | 1.60 |
| 1.90 | Opponent cards | 1.60 |
| 3 of 1030% | Most cards | 3 of 1030% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 1010% | Received 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 1.50 | 1H total | 1.20 |
| 0.90 | 1H received | 0.60 |
| 2.10 | 2H total | 2.00 |
| 0.90 | 2H received | 1.00 |
| Gabon | Stat | Lesotho |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 19.00 | Total shots (match) | 15.00 |
| 7.70 | Total on target (match) | 7.10 |
| 39% | On-target conversion | 22% |
Gabon's last 10 games and Lesotho's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 19:31 UK.
Gabon are without 1 player and Lesotho had no reported absences.
No reported absences.
Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027 standings as of 12 Nov 2026, 22:11 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 1.24Kambi Group | No changefrom 1.24 | 62% |
| Draw | 6.00Bet365 | Drifted 9%from 5.50 | 20% |
| Lesotho | 14.901xBet | Drifted 1%from 14.80 | 18% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon or Draw | 1.03WilliamHill | Shortened 1%from 1.04 | 82% |
| Draw or Lesotho | 4.331xBet | Drifted 7%from 4.03 | 38% |
| Gabon or Lesotho | 1.14WilliamHill | Shortened 1%from 1.15 | 80% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 1.05Bet365 | Shortened 2%from 1.07 | 78% |
| Lesotho | 12.00WilliamHill | Drifted 20%from 10.00 | 22% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 3.25Bet365 | Drifted 8%from 3.00 | 46% |
| BTTS No | 1.44WilliamHill | Drifted 3%from 1.40 | 54% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.25Bet365 | Shortened 2%from 1.28 | 76% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.75Bet365 | Drifted 7%from 3.50 | 24% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85Bet365 | Shortened 3%from 1.90 | 53% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.97Pinnacle | Drifted 5%from 1.87 | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00Bet365 | Shortened 8%from 3.25 | 30% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.36Bet365 | Drifted 2%from 1.33 | 70% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 1.621xBet | Drifted 3%from 1.58 | – |
| Draw | 2.62Pinnacle | Drifted 5%from 2.50 | – |
| Lesotho | 13.00Bet365 | Drifted 18%from 11.00 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 21:25. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Gabon vs Lesotho predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation