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Nigeria
Tanzania
Nigeria have scored 2.30 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Tanzania have scored 0.90 and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Nigeria's last 10 home games and 5 of Tanzania's last 10 away games. Nigeria have won 8 of their last 10 home games. Nigeria have scored first in 8 of their last 10 home games. Nigeria's last 10 home games have averaged 8.4 corners and Tanzania's last 10 away games 6.9. Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 23:45 UK.
Nigeria's last 10 home games and Tanzania's last 10 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Nigeria vs Tanzania kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Nigeria a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tanzania 20%.
Nigeria have scored 2.30 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Tanzania have scored 0.90 and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Nigeria's last 10 home games and 5 of Tanzania's last 10 away games.
Nigeria are 2nd in Group L with 3 points from 2 games. Tanzania are 4th in Group L with 1 point from 2 games.
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Win | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Draw | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Loss | 3 of 1030% |
| 26 | Points | 13 |
| 2.60 | Points per game | 1.30 |
| 17 | Goal difference | 0 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.66 | xG per game | 0.41 |
| 0.32 | xGA per game | 0.38 |
| 16.40 | xG performance | 4.92 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 55% | Possession | 46% |
| 57.60 | Dangerous attacks | 37.20 |
| 53.00 | Dangerous attacks against | 55.00 |
| Shots | ||
| 12.40 | Shots for | 9.90 |
| 7.00 | Shots against | 10.30 |
| 5.40 | On target for | 2.80 |
| 2.20 | On target against | 4.50 |
| 19% | Shot conversion | 9% |
| 44% | On-target accuracy | 28% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 9.70 | Tackles | 11.50 |
| 14.00 | Fouls committed | 13.20 |
| 17.40 | Fouls won | 10.50 |
| 1.70 | Offsides | 2.60 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.90 | Goals per game (total) | 1.80 |
| 23 | Goals scored | 9 |
| 2.30 | Scored per game | 0.90 |
| 6 | Goals conceded | 9 |
| 0.60 | Conceded per game | 0.90 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored first | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Failed to score | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | Clean sheet | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Total goals | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Scored 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 7 of 1070% | Scored 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Conceded 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| 6 of 1060% | Drawing at HT | 7 of 1070% |
| 0 of 100% | Losing at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.40 | Total corners | 6.90 |
| 4.50 | Corners for | 2.40 |
| 3.90 | Corners against | 4.50 |
| 4 of 1040% | Most corners | 2 of 1020% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Over 7.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 8.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 9.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 10.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Against over 4.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 3.80 | 1H total | 3.00 |
| 2.50 | 1H for | 1.10 |
| 1.30 | 1H against | 1.90 |
| 4.80 | 2H total | 3.20 |
| 2.10 | 2H for | 1.10 |
| 2.70 | 2H against | 2.10 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.60 | Total cards | 2.90 |
| 2.10 | Cards received | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | Opponent cards | 1.30 |
| 6 of 1060% | Most cards | 4 of 1040% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Received 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Opponent 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 1.40 | 1H total | 0.80 |
| 0.80 | 1H received | 0.50 |
| 2.30 | 2H total | 2.20 |
| 1.30 | 2H received | 1.20 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 19.40 | Total shots (match) | 20.20 |
| 7.60 | Total on target (match) | 7.30 |
| 43% | On-target conversion | 32% |
Nigeria's last 10 home games and Tanzania's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Win | 0 of 100% |
| 3 of 1030% | Draw | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Loss | 6 of 1060% |
| 21 | Points | 4 |
| 2.10 | Points per game | 0.40 |
| 8 | Goal difference | -7 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.89 | xG per game | 0.26 |
| 0.41 | xGA per game | 0.42 |
| 8.10 | xG performance | 2.45 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 56% | Possession | 47% |
| 54.30 | Dangerous attacks | 46.20 |
| 41.40 | Dangerous attacks against | 49.70 |
| Shots | ||
| 12.80 | Shots for | 9.10 |
| 7.80 | Shots against | 9.40 |
| 5.20 | On target for | 2.30 |
| 2.40 | On target against | 4.30 |
| 13% | Shot conversion | 5% |
| 41% | On-target accuracy | 25% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 14.70 | Tackles | 12.80 |
| 15.40 | Fouls committed | 17.70 |
| 18.50 | Fouls won | 12.90 |
| 2.00 | Offsides | 2.40 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.60 | Goals per game (total) | 1.70 |
| 17 | Goals scored | 5 |
| 1.70 | Scored per game | 0.50 |
| 9 | Goals conceded | 12 |
| 0.90 | Conceded per game | 1.20 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Scored first | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Failed to score | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Clean sheet | 0 of 100% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Total goals | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 8 of 1080% | Over 1.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 2.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Scored 1+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 6 of 1060% | Scored 2+ | 0 of 100% |
| 3 of 1030% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Conceded 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 2 of 1020% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| 5 of 1050% | Drawing at HT | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 1010% | Losing at HT | 3 of 1030% |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 7.30 | Total corners | 6.50 |
| 3.80 | Corners for | 3.00 |
| 3.50 | Corners against | 3.50 |
| 6 of 1060% | Most corners | 3 of 1030% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Over 7.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 10.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| By half | ||
| 3.40 | 1H total | 3.10 |
| 2.20 | 1H for | 1.30 |
| 1.20 | 1H against | 1.80 |
| 3.90 | 2H total | 3.40 |
| 1.60 | 2H for | 1.70 |
| 2.30 | 2H against | 1.70 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.00 | Total cards | 4.00 |
| 1.90 | Cards received | 2.10 |
| 1.10 | Opponent cards | 1.90 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most cards | 3 of 1030% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 4.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 6 of 1060% | Received 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Received 3+ | 4 of 1040% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Opponent 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 2+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 1010% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 1.00 | 1H total | 1.40 |
| 0.70 | 1H received | 0.90 |
| 2.20 | 2H total | 2.80 |
| 1.30 | 2H received | 1.50 |
| Nigeria | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 20.60 | Total shots (match) | 18.50 |
| 7.60 | Total on target (match) | 6.60 |
| 33% | On-target conversion | 22% |
Nigeria's last 10 games and Tanzania's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 23:45 UK.
Nigeria are without 3 players and Tanzania are without 1 player.
Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 7 | ||
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 02:33 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.19Pinnacle | Drifted 2%from 1.17 | 53% |
| Draw | 7.50Bet365 | No changefrom 7.50 | 27% |
| Tanzania | 15.501xBet | Shortened 9%from 17.00 | 20% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria or Draw | 1.03Bet365 | Shortened 1%from 1.04 | 81% |
| Draw or Tanzania | 4.651xBet | Shortened 11%from 5.24 | 47% |
| Nigeria or Tanzania | 1.11WilliamHill | Drifted 1%from 1.10 | 73% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.06Bet365 | Shortened 1%from 1.07 | 73% |
| Tanzania | 13.00WilliamHill | Shortened 24%from 17.00 | 27% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 2.75Bet365 | Drifted 5%from 2.62 | 41% |
| BTTS No | 1.50WilliamHill | Drifted 4%from 1.44 | 59% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.20Bet365 | No changefrom 1.20 | 67% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33Bet365 | No changefrom 4.33 | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70Pinnacle | Drifted 6%from 1.61 | 41% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20Bet365 | Shortened 4%from 2.30 | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.65Pinnacle | Drifted 6%from 2.51 | 21% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44Bet365 | Shortened 4%from 1.50 | 79% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.571xBet | Drifted 12%from 1.40 | – |
| Draw | 2.80Pinnacle | Shortened 1%from 2.84 | – |
| Tanzania | 13.00WilliamHill | No changefrom 13.00 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 02:25. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Nigeria vs Tanzania predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation