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Nigeria vs Tanzania

Nigeria host Tanzania in the Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 16:00. Our model makes Nigeria favourites at 53%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, Nigeria won 2, Tanzania won 0 and 1 was drawn.

Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Save
Nigeria
16:00
13 Nov
Tanzania

Nigeria vs Tanzania preview

Nigeria have scored 2.30 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Tanzania have scored 0.90 and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Nigeria's last 10 home games and 5 of Tanzania's last 10 away games. Nigeria have won 8 of their last 10 home games. Nigeria have scored first in 8 of their last 10 home games. Nigeria's last 10 home games have averaged 8.4 corners and Tanzania's last 10 away games 6.9. Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 23:45 UK.

  • Goals scored Nigeria: 2.30 Tanzania: 0.90
  • Goals conceded Nigeria: 0.60 Tanzania: 0.90
  • Both teams scored Nigeria: 5 of 1050% Tanzania: 5 of 1050%
  • Over 2.5 goals Nigeria: 6 of 1060% Tanzania: 2 of 1020%
  • Match corners Nigeria: 8.40 Tanzania: 6.90
  • Match cards Nigeria: 3.60 Tanzania: 2.90

Nigeria's last 10 home games and Tanzania's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

53%Nigeria 27%Draw 20%Tanzania

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Nigeria vs Tanzania: questions and answers

When is Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Nigeria vs Tanzania kicks off at 16:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.

Who is the favourite in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Nigeria a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tanzania 20%.

How many goals do Nigeria and Tanzania games have?

Nigeria have scored 2.30 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Tanzania have scored 0.90 and conceded 0.90 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Nigeria's last 10 home games and 5 of Tanzania's last 10 away games.

Where are Nigeria and Tanzania in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications table?

Nigeria are 2nd in Group L with 3 points from 2 games. Tanzania are 4th in Group L with 1 point from 2 games.

Nigeria vs Tanzania stats

Nigeria8W 2D 0L · 10 home games
Tanzania3W 4D 3L · 10 away games
Nigeria vs Tanzania general stats: Nigeria's last 10 home games and Tanzania's last 10 away games in all competitions
NigeriaStatTanzania
Match outcomes
8 of 1080% Win 3 of 1030%
2 of 1020% Draw 4 of 1040%
0 of 100% Loss 3 of 1030%
26 Points 13
2.60 Points per game 1.30
17 Goal difference 0
Expected goals
0.66 xG per game 0.41
0.32 xGA per game 0.38
16.40 xG performance 4.92
Possession & attacks
55% Possession 46%
57.60 Dangerous attacks 37.20
53.00 Dangerous attacks against 55.00
Shots
12.40 Shots for 9.90
7.00 Shots against 10.30
5.40 On target for 2.80
2.20 On target against 4.50
19% Shot conversion 9%
44% On-target accuracy 28%
Tackles & fouls
9.70 Tackles 11.50
14.00 Fouls committed 13.20
17.40 Fouls won 10.50
1.70 Offsides 2.60

Nigeria's last 10 home games and Tanzania's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 23:45 UK.

Nigeria vs Tanzania lineups

Predicted

Nigeria

  • 23 Stanley Nwabali
  • 12 Bright Osayi-Samuel
  • 6 Chibuike Nwaiwu
  • 21 Calvin Bassey
  • 13 Bruno Onyemaechi
  • 2 Ola Aina
  • 4 Wilfred Ndidi
  • 17 Alex Iwobi
  • 20 Raphael Onyedika
  • 24 Moses Usor
  • 22 Akor Adams

Tanzania

  • 28 Zuberi Foba
  • 2 Pascal Msindo
  • 4 Ibrahim Hamad
  • 23 Yusuph Kagoma
  • 25 Haji Mnoga
  • 20 Novatus Miroshi
  • 8 Charles M'Mombwa
  • 10 Tarryn Allarakhia
  • 6 Feisal Salum
  • 11 Denis Kibu
  • 12 Simon Msuva

Nigeria vs Tanzania team news

Nigeria are without 3 players and Tanzania are without 1 player.

Nigeria 3 out

Samuel Chukwueze Hip Flexor Problems · Missed 6 games · Out until 11 Feb 2027 Injured
Frank Onyeka Groin Injury · Missed 1 game · Out until 21 Nov 2026 Injured
Semi Ajayi Hamstring Injury · Missed 1 game Injured

Tanzania 1 out

Adolf Bitegeko Unknown Injury · Missed 6 games Injured

Nigeria vs Tanzania form

Nigeria D L W L D
Tanzania D L W L L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Nigeria vs Tanzania head to head

2 Nigeria wins 1 draws 0 Tanzania wins
1.3 goals per game 33% both teams scored 33% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Tanzania 13:00 Nigeria
  2. 13 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Nigeria 16:00 Tanzania
  3. 23 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania
  4. 3 Sep 2016Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Nigeria 1–0 Tanzania
  5. 5 Sep 2015Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Tanzania 0–0 Nigeria

Nigeria vs Tanzania standings

Group L

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Group L table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Guinea-Bissau 321061 +5 7
2 Nigeria 210124 -2 3
3 Madagascar 302134 -1 2
4 Tanzania 201113 -2 1
  • Nigeria
  • Tanzania

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 02:33 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Nigeria vs Tanzania odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nigeria 1.19Pinnacle Drifted 2%from 1.17 53%
Draw 7.50Bet365 No changefrom 7.50 27%
Tanzania 15.501xBet Shortened 9%from 17.00 20%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nigeria or Draw 1.03Bet365 Shortened 1%from 1.04 81%
Draw or Tanzania 4.651xBet Shortened 11%from 5.24 47%
Nigeria or Tanzania 1.11WilliamHill Drifted 1%from 1.10 73%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nigeria 1.06Bet365 Shortened 1%from 1.07 73%
Tanzania 13.00WilliamHill Shortened 24%from 17.00 27%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 2.75Bet365 Drifted 5%from 2.62 41%
BTTS No 1.50WilliamHill Drifted 4%from 1.44 59%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.20Bet365 No changefrom 1.20 67%
Under 1.5 4.33Bet365 No changefrom 4.33 33%
Over 2.5 1.70Pinnacle Drifted 6%from 1.61 41%
Under 2.5 2.20Bet365 Shortened 4%from 2.30 59%
Over 3.5 2.65Pinnacle Drifted 6%from 2.51 21%
Under 3.5 1.44Bet365 Shortened 4%from 1.50 79%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Nigeria 1.571xBet Drifted 12%from 1.40 –
Draw 2.80Pinnacle Shortened 1%from 2.84 –
Tanzania 13.00WilliamHill No changefrom 13.00 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 02:25. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

53%Nigeria 27%Draw 20%Tanzania
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Nigeria vs Tanzania predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation