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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction

We simulated Nigeria vs Tanzania 100,000 times. Nigeria won 81,112 of them (81.1%), the draw came up 13.9% of the time and Tanzania won 5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (16.3%), and both teams score in 32.9% of simulations.

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Nigeria Home
Today
Tanzania badge
Tanzania Away
81.1% 81,112 wins
13.9% Draw
5% 4,994 wins
Expected goals
2.46 – 0.45
Likeliest score
2-0 16.3%
Both score
32.9%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jean Jacques Ndala Ngambo

Nigeria vs Tanzania in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Today, 16:00

Nigeria vs Tanzania simulation probabilities
Nigeria win81.1%
Draw13.9%
Tanzania win5%
Most likely score2-0 (16.3%)
Expected goals2.46 – 0.45
Both teams to score32.9%
Over 1.5 goals78.3%
Over 2.5 goals55.2%
Over 3.5 goals33.2%
Nigeria score first78.6%
Tanzania score first15.4%
Nigeria clean sheet64.1%
Tanzania clean sheet9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420728705
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction FAQs

Who will win Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Nigeria are favourites. They win 81.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.9% for the draw and 5% for Tanzania. Including the draw, Nigeria avoid defeat 95% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

2-0, which came up in 16.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (13.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Both teams score in 32.9% of simulations. Nigeria keep a clean sheet 64.1% of the time and Tanzania 9%.

How many goals will there be in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

The simulations average 2.91 goals: 2.46 for Nigeria and 0.45 for Tanzania. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.2% and over 3.5 goals 33.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.