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We simulated Nigeria vs Tanzania 100,000 times. Nigeria won 81,112 of them (81.1%), the draw came up 13.9% of the time and Tanzania won 5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (16.3%), and both teams score in 32.9% of simulations.
| Nigeria win | 81.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.9% |
| Tanzania win | 5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (16.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.46 – 0.45 |
| Both teams to score | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.2% |
| Nigeria score first | 78.6% |
| Tanzania score first | 15.4% |
| Nigeria clean sheet | 64.1% |
| Tanzania clean sheet | 9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728705 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nigeria are favourites. They win 81.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.9% for the draw and 5% for Tanzania. Including the draw, Nigeria avoid defeat 95% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 16.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (13.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 32.9% of simulations. Nigeria keep a clean sheet 64.1% of the time and Tanzania 9%.
The simulations average 2.91 goals: 2.46 for Nigeria and 0.45 for Tanzania. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.2% and over 3.5 goals 33.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.