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  1. Simulations
  2. Gabon vs Lesotho
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction

We simulated Gabon vs Lesotho 100,000 times. Gabon won 79,129 of them (79.1%), the draw came up 15.1% of the time and Lesotho won 5.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (16.9%), and both teams score in 31.6% of simulations.

Gabon badge
Gabon Stade de Franceville
Tomorrow
Lesotho badge
Lesotho Away
79.1% 79,129 wins
15.1% Draw
5.8% 5,817 wins
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.44
Likeliest score
2-0 16.9%
Both score
31.6%
Over 2.5
51%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Daniel Nii Ayi Laryea Stade de Franceville

Gabon vs Lesotho in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Tomorrow, 16:00

Gabon vs Lesotho simulation probabilities
Gabon win79.1%
Draw15.1%
Lesotho win5.8%
Most likely score2-0 (16.9%)
Expected goals2.29 – 0.44
Both teams to score31.6%
Over 1.5 goals75.1%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29.3%
Gabon score first78.1%
Lesotho score first14.8%
Gabon clean sheet64.6%
Lesotho clean sheet10.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420728717
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction FAQs

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

Gabon are favourites. They win 79.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.1% for the draw and 5.8% for Lesotho. Including the draw, Gabon avoid defeat 94.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Gabon vs Lesotho?

2-0, which came up in 16.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (12.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Gabon vs Lesotho?

Both teams score in 31.6% of simulations. Gabon keep a clean sheet 64.6% of the time and Lesotho 10.6%.

How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Lesotho?

The simulations average 2.73 goals: 2.29 for Gabon and 0.44 for Lesotho. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51% and over 3.5 goals 29.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.