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Malawi vs Egypt

Malawi host Egypt in the Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 13:00. Our model makes Egypt favourites at 53%, with a 28% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Egypt won 2, Malawi won 0 and 0 were drawn.

You're viewing an earlier meeting. Go to the latest Egypt vs Malawi match

Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Save
Malawi
13:00
17 Nov
Egypt
Bingu National Stadium, Malawi

Malawi vs Egypt preview

Malawi have scored 1.25 goals a game and conceded 0.75 across their last 8 home games in all competitions, while Egypt have scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Malawi's last 8 home games and 5 of Egypt's last 10 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Malawi's last 8 home games and 1 of Egypt's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 2 of Malawi's last 8 home games. Malawi's last 8 home games have averaged 7.8 corners and Egypt's last 10 away games 7.3. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:15 UK.

  • Goals scored Malawi: 1.25 Egypt: 1.60
  • Goals conceded Malawi: 0.75 Egypt: 0.80
  • Both teams scored Malawi: 2 of 825% Egypt: 5 of 1050%
  • Over 2.5 goals Malawi: 3 of 838% Egypt: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Malawi: 7.75 Egypt: 7.30
  • Match cards Malawi: 2.50 Egypt: 3.30

Malawi's last 8 home games and Egypt's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

19%Malawi 28%Draw 53%Egypt

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Malawi vs Egypt: questions and answers

When is Malawi vs Egypt?

Malawi vs Egypt kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Bingu National Stadium, Malawi.

Who is the favourite in Malawi vs Egypt?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Malawi a 19% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Egypt 53%.

How many goals do Malawi and Egypt games have?

Malawi have scored 1.25 goals a game and conceded 0.75 across their last 8 home games in all competitions, while Egypt have scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Malawi's last 8 home games and 5 of Egypt's last 10 away games.

Malawi vs Egypt stats

Malawi4W 1D 3L · 8 home games
Egypt3W 5D 2L · 10 away games
Malawi vs Egypt general stats: Malawi's last 8 home games and Egypt's last 10 away games in all competitions
MalawiStatEgypt
Match outcomes
4 of 850% Win 3 of 1030%
1 of 813% Draw 5 of 1050%
3 of 838% Loss 2 of 1020%
13 Points 14
1.63 Points per game 1.40
4 Goal difference 8
Expected goals
0.09 xG per game 0.54
0.06 xGA per game 0.78
9.31 xG performance 10.62
Possession & attacks
46% Possession 51%
62.13 Dangerous attacks 42.30
52.50 Dangerous attacks against 50.70
Shots
7.00 Shots for 9.60
5.50 Shots against 11.10
2.38 On target for 3.50
2.00 On target against 2.80
18% Shot conversion 17%
34% On-target accuracy 36%
Tackles & fouls
2.88 Tackles 15.30
5.00 Fouls committed 14.00
4.00 Fouls won 13.50
1.13 Offsides 1.80

Malawi's last 8 home games and Egypt's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:15 UK.

Malawi vs Egypt lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Malawi vs Egypt players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Egypt Ibrahim Adel 1.61
  2. 2 Egypt Mohamed Salah 1.57
  3. 3 Egypt Haissem Hassan 1.29
  4. 4 Egypt Omar Marmoush 1.06
  5. 5 Egypt Mahmoud Trezeguet 0.95

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
None for Malawi yet
Emam Ashour in 5 caps 2goals
Top creator
None for Malawi yet
Mohamed Salah in 5 caps 2assists

Players in form

  1. Mohamed Salah Winger · Egypt 7.58 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    9
    Assists
    3
    • Key passes3.41 per 90 Top 3%
    • NP goals0.53 per 90 Top 4%
    • xG0.47 per 90 Top 4%
  2. Ibrahim Adel Winger · Egypt 7.41 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    3
    • NP goals0.68 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.60 per 90 Top 3%
    • Shots3.55 per 90 Top 5%
  3. Mohanad Lasheen Defensive midfielder · Egypt 7.41 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    3
    • Duel %69% per 90 Top 1%
    • Tackles3.15 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third8.65 per 90 Top 13%
  4. Zizo Winger · Egypt 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.32 per 90 Top 3%
    • Assists0.38 per 90 Top 5%
    • Crosses2.89 per 90 Top 5%
  5. Mahmoud Saber Central midfielder · Egypt 7.31 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Shots3.85 per 90 Top 1%
    • G+A0.58 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third8.89 per 90 Top 9%
  6. Ramy Rabia Centre-back · Egypt 7.18 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 4%
    • Ball security4.14 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries4.54 per 90 Top 7%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season. For national teams, form comes from club games and the leading scorers and creators count internationals over the last 18 months.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Malawi vs Egypt form

Malawi All venues
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.80
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
1.4
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications A Angola 1–3 defeat
  2. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications H South Sudan 2–1 win
  3. Friendly International A Ethiopia 1–1 draw
  4. Friendly International A Ethiopia 0–1 defeat
  5. Friendly International A Botswana 0–1 defeat
Egypt All venues
1 W · 2 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.00
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Friendly International H South Africa 0–1 defeat
  2. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications A South Sudan 5–0 win
  3. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications H Angola 0–0 draw
  4. World Cup A Argentina 2–3 defeat xG 0.9–3.2
  5. World Cup A Australia 1–1 draw Pens xG 1.1–1.0

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Egypt vs Malawi head to head

2 Egypt wins 0 draws 0 Malawi wins
3.0 goals per game 0% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Malawi 13:00 Egypt
  2. 13 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Egypt 19:00 Malawi
  3. 28 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Malawi 0–4 Egypt
  4. 24 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Egypt 2–0 Malawi

Malawi vs Egypt odds

Best price across 2 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Malawi 17.00FanDuel Shortened 6%from 18.00 19%
Draw 9.00FanDuel Drifted 39%from 6.50 28%
Egypt 1.291xBet Shortened 1%from 1.30 53%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 2.611xBet Drifted 4%from 2.50 39%
BTTS No 1.431xBet Shortened 1%from 1.45 61%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.301xBet Shortened 3%from 1.34 63%
Under 1.5 2.971xBet Shortened 1%from 3.00 37%
Over 2.5 2.031xBet Shortened 3%from 2.10 37%
Under 2.5 1.721xBet Drifted 2%from 1.69 63%
Over 3.5 3.501xBet Shortened 5%from 3.70 17%
Under 3.5 1.221xBet Shortened 2%from 1.24 83%

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 05:02. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

19%Malawi 28%Draw 53%Egypt
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.