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  1. Simulations
  2. Egypt vs Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Egypt vs Malawi prediction

We simulated Egypt vs Malawi 100,000 times. Egypt won 86,557 of them (86.6%), the draw came up 10.3% of the time and Malawi won 3.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (17.8%), and both teams score in 25% of simulations.

Egypt badge
Egypt Cairo International Stadium
Tomorrow
Malawi badge
Malawi Away
86.6% 86,557 wins
10.3% Draw
3.2% 3,148 wins
Expected goals
2.66 – 0.32
Likeliest score
2-0 17.8%
Both score
25%
Over 2.5
56.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Abdel Aziz Mohamed Bouh Cairo International Stadium, Cairo

Egypt vs Malawi in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Tomorrow, 19:00

Egypt vs Malawi simulation probabilities
Egypt win86.6%
Draw10.3%
Malawi win3.2%
Most likely score2-0 (17.8%)
Expected goals2.66 – 0.32
Both teams to score25%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56.8%
Over 3.5 goals34.8%
Egypt score first83.6%
Malawi score first11.3%
Egypt clean sheet72.7%
Malawi clean sheet7.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728720
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Egypt vs Malawi prediction FAQs

Who will win Egypt vs Malawi?

Egypt are favourites. They win 86.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.3% for the draw and 3.2% for Malawi. Including the draw, Egypt avoid defeat 96.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Egypt vs Malawi?

2-0, which came up in 17.8% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (15.6%) and 1-0 (13.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Egypt vs Malawi?

Both teams score in 25% of simulations. Egypt keep a clean sheet 72.7% of the time and Malawi 7.4%.

How many goals will there be in Egypt vs Malawi?

The simulations average 2.98 goals: 2.66 for Egypt and 0.32 for Malawi. Over 1.5 goals lands 79% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.