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  1. Simulations
  2. Zambia vs Burundi
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Zambia vs Burundi prediction

We simulated Zambia vs Burundi 100,000 times. Zambia won 56,529 of them (56.5%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Burundi won 18%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.1%), and both teams score in 39.9% of simulations.

Zambia badge
Zambia Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Tomorrow
Burundi badge
Burundi Away
56.5% 56,529 wins
25.5% Draw
18% 17,945 wins
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.73
Likeliest score
1-0 16.1%
Both score
39.9%
Over 2.5
39.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Washington N. Dolo Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Zambia

Zambia vs Burundi in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Tomorrow, 13:00

Zambia vs Burundi simulation probabilities
Zambia win56.5%
Draw25.5%
Burundi win18%
Most likely score1-0 (16.1%)
Expected goals1.53 – 0.73
Both teams to score39.9%
Over 1.5 goals65.5%
Over 2.5 goals39.2%
Over 3.5 goals19.4%
Zambia score first58.6%
Burundi score first30.9%
Zambia clean sheet48.6%
Burundi clean sheet22%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420728710
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Zambia vs Burundi prediction FAQs

Who will win Zambia vs Burundi?

Zambia are favourites. They win 56.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 18% for Burundi. Including the draw, Zambia avoid defeat 82.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Zambia vs Burundi?

1-0, which came up in 16.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.2%) and 1-1 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Zambia vs Burundi?

Both teams score in 39.9% of simulations. Zambia keep a clean sheet 48.6% of the time and Burundi 22%.

How many goals will there be in Zambia vs Burundi?

The simulations average 2.26 goals: 1.53 for Zambia and 0.73 for Burundi. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.2% and over 3.5 goals 19.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.