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You're viewing an earlier meeting. Go to the latest Ethiopia vs Mozambique match
Ethiopia
Mozambique
Ethiopia have scored 1.14 goals a game and conceded 1.14 across their last 7 home games in all competitions, while Mozambique have scored 1.00 and conceded 2.13 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Ethiopia's last 7 home games and 3 of Mozambique's last 8 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Ethiopia's last 7 home games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Ethiopia's last 7 home games. Ethiopia's last 7 home games have averaged 5.7 corners and Mozambique's last 8 away games 9.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 01:22 UK.
Ethiopia's last 7 home games and Mozambique's last 8 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Ethiopia vs Mozambique kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Ethiopia a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mozambique 35%.
Ethiopia have scored 1.14 goals a game and conceded 1.14 across their last 7 home games in all competitions, while Mozambique have scored 1.00 and conceded 2.13 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 1 of Ethiopia's last 7 home games and 3 of Mozambique's last 8 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Ethiopia's last 7 home games.
Ethiopia3W 0D 4L · 7 home games
Mozambique4W 0D 4L · 8 away games
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 3 of 743% | Win | 4 of 850% |
| 0 of 70% | Draw | 0 of 80% |
| 4 of 757% | Loss | 4 of 850% |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 1.29 | Points per game | 1.50 |
| 0 | Goal difference | -9 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.11 | xG per game | 0.45 |
| 0.24 | xGA per game | 1.06 |
| 7.25 | xG performance | 4.39 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 43% | Possession | 43% |
| 38.57 | Dangerous attacks | 30.13 |
| 51.29 | Dangerous attacks against | 59.25 |
| Shots | ||
| 7.00 | Shots for | 5.63 |
| 7.86 | Shots against | 12.50 |
| 3.14 | On target for | 2.63 |
| 3.57 | On target against | 5.00 |
| 16% | Shot conversion | 18% |
| 45% | On-target accuracy | 47% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 2.57 | Tackles | 8.13 |
| 4.00 | Fouls committed | 11.38 |
| 5.43 | Fouls won | 7.63 |
| 1.71 | Offsides | 1.25 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.29 | Goals per game (total) | 3.13 |
| 8 | Goals scored | 8 |
| 1.14 | Scored per game | 1.00 |
| 8 | Goals conceded | 17 |
| 1.14 | Conceded per game | 2.13 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 743% | Scored first | 4 of 850% |
| 4 of 757% | Failed to score | 3 of 838% |
| 2 of 729% | Clean sheet | 2 of 825% |
| 1 of 714% | BTTS | 3 of 838% |
| 1 of 714% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 3 of 838% |
| 1 of 714% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 863% |
| Total goals | ||
| 7 of 7100% | Over 0.5 | 8 of 8100% |
| 4 of 757% | Over 1.5 | 5 of 863% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 863% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 850% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 3 of 743% | Scored 1+ | 5 of 863% |
| 1 of 714% | Scored 2+ | 2 of 825% |
| 1 of 714% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 813% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 5 of 771% | Conceded 1+ | 6 of 875% |
| 3 of 743% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 850% |
| 0 of 70% | Conceded 3+ | 3 of 838% |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 3 of 743% | Winning at HT | 2 of 825% |
| 0 of 70% | Drawing at HT | 4 of 850% |
| 4 of 757% | Losing at HT | 2 of 825% |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 5.71 | Total corners | 9.00 |
| 2.43 | Corners for | 2.75 |
| 3.29 | Corners against | 6.25 |
| 2 of 729% | Most corners | 1 of 813% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 1 of 714% | Over 7.5 | 5 of 863% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 850% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 850% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 10.5 | 4 of 850% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 825% |
| 0 of 70% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 813% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 1 of 714% | For over 4.5 | 1 of 813% |
| 0 of 70% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 813% |
| 0 of 70% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 813% |
| 0 of 70% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 80% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 1 of 714% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 850% |
| 1 of 714% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 838% |
| 1 of 714% | Against over 6.5 | 3 of 838% |
| By half | ||
| 3.00 | 1H total | 5.00 |
| 1.29 | 1H for | 2.00 |
| 1.71 | 1H against | 3.00 |
| 2.71 | 2H total | 4.00 |
| 1.14 | 2H for | 0.75 |
| 1.57 | 2H against | 3.25 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 2.14 | Total cards | 2.88 |
| 1.00 | Cards received | 1.38 |
| 1.14 | Opponent cards | 1.50 |
| 3 of 743% | Most cards | 3 of 838% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 4 of 757% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 863% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 838% |
| 1 of 714% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 813% |
| 0 of 70% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 80% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 771% | Received 1+ | 6 of 875% |
| 2 of 729% | Received 2+ | 4 of 850% |
| 0 of 70% | Received 3+ | 1 of 813% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 4 of 757% | Opponent 1+ | 7 of 888% |
| 2 of 729% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 850% |
| 1 of 714% | Opponent 3+ | 1 of 813% |
| By half | ||
| 0.14 | 1H total | 1.75 |
| 0.00 | 1H received | 0.63 |
| 2.29 | 2H total | 1.38 |
| 1.14 | 2H received | 0.75 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 14.86 | Total shots (match) | 18.13 |
| 6.71 | Total on target (match) | 7.63 |
| 36% | On-target conversion | 38% |
Ethiopia's last 7 home games and Mozambique's last 8 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Ethiopia4W 0D 6L · 10 games
Mozambique4W 1D 5L · 10 games
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Win | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Draw | 1 of 1010% |
| 6 of 1060% | Loss | 5 of 1050% |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 1.20 | Points per game | 1.30 |
| 0 | Goal difference | -4 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.32 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.83 |
| 12.00 | xG performance | 9.75 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 46% | Possession | 48% |
| 34.30 | Dangerous attacks | 32.40 |
| 63.20 | Dangerous attacks against | 53.30 |
| Shots | ||
| 6.20 | Shots for | 6.80 |
| 9.30 | Shots against | 11.70 |
| 2.70 | On target for | 2.40 |
| 3.90 | On target against | 4.60 |
| 19% | Shot conversion | 19% |
| 44% | On-target accuracy | 35% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 1.80 | Tackles | 8.90 |
| 5.10 | Fouls committed | 16.60 |
| 6.90 | Fouls won | 9.50 |
| 1.70 | Offsides | 1.70 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.40 | Goals per game (total) | 3.00 |
| 12 | Goals scored | 13 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game | 1.30 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 17 |
| 1.20 | Conceded per game | 1.70 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Scored first | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | Failed to score | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Clean sheet | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 1020% | BTTS | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 6 of 1060% | Over 1.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Scored 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Scored 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Losing at HT | 1 of 1010% |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 6.50 | Total corners | 9.40 |
| 2.60 | Corners for | 3.00 |
| 3.90 | Corners against | 6.40 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most corners | 2 of 1020% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Over 7.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 8.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 9.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 10.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 2 of 1020% | For over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 4.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 5.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 6.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| By half | ||
| 3.00 | 1H total | 4.60 |
| 0.90 | 1H for | 2.00 |
| 2.10 | 1H against | 2.60 |
| 2.50 | 2H total | 4.80 |
| 1.20 | 2H for | 1.00 |
| 1.30 | 2H against | 3.80 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 2.30 | Total cards | 3.00 |
| 1.30 | Cards received | 1.10 |
| 1.00 | Opponent cards | 1.90 |
| 4 of 1040% | Most cards | 2 of 1020% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 4.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 5.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Received 1+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Received 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Received 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 2 of 1020% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 1.10 | 1H total | 1.10 |
| 0.70 | 1H received | 0.40 |
| 1.80 | 2H total | 2.30 |
| 1.00 | 2H received | 0.70 |
| Ethiopia | Stat | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 15.50 | Total shots (match) | 18.50 |
| 6.60 | Total on target (match) | 7.00 |
| 44% | On-target conversion | 54% |
Ethiopia's last 10 games and Mozambique's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 01:22 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.
Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.
Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 3.421xBet | No changefrom 3.42 | 39% |
| Draw | 3.051xBet | No changefrom 3.05 | 26% |
| Mozambique | 2.041xBet | No changefrom 2.04 | 35% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 2.171xBet | No changefrom 2.17 | 50% |
| BTTS No | 1.581xBet | No changefrom 1.58 | 51% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.451xBet | No changefrom 1.45 | 73% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.471xBet | No changefrom 2.47 | 27% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.561xBet | No changefrom 2.56 | 49% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.421xBet | No changefrom 1.42 | 51% |
Prices are decimal. Updated 11 Nov, 18:25. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
