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Rwanda
Mali
Rwanda have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 1.17 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Mali have scored 0.89 and conceded 0.33 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Rwanda's last 6 home games and 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Mali's last 9 away games. Rwanda's last 6 home games have averaged 8.8 corners and Mali's last 9 away games 6.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:13 UK.
Rwanda's last 6 home games and Mali's last 9 away games in all competitions.
Rwanda vs Mali kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Stade Amahoro, Kigali.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Rwanda a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mali 32%.
Rwanda have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 1.17 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Mali have scored 0.89 and conceded 0.33 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Rwanda's last 6 home games and 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Mali's last 9 away games.
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 633% | Win | 4 of 944% |
| 1 of 617% | Draw | 3 of 933% |
| 3 of 650% | Loss | 2 of 922% |
| 7 | Points | 15 |
| 1.17 | Points per game | 1.67 |
| -1 | Goal difference | 5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.26 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.40 |
| 6.00 | xG performance | 5.68 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 41% | Possession | 42% |
| 44.83 | Dangerous attacks | 43.22 |
| 25.67 | Dangerous attacks against | 32.78 |
| Shots | ||
| 12.83 | Shots for | 9.11 |
| 6.83 | Shots against | 6.44 |
| 5.17 | On target for | 2.78 |
| 2.33 | On target against | 1.67 |
| 8% | Shot conversion | 10% |
| 40% | On-target accuracy | 30% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 2.83 | Tackles | 9.33 |
| 8.67 | Fouls committed | 11.67 |
| 9.00 | Fouls won | 12.11 |
| 1.33 | Offsides | 1.56 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.17 | Goals per game (total) | 1.22 |
| 6 | Goals scored | 8 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game | 0.89 |
| 7 | Goals conceded | 3 |
| 1.17 | Conceded per game | 0.33 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 650% | Scored first | 4 of 944% |
| 3 of 650% | Failed to score | 4 of 944% |
| 0 of 60% | Clean sheet | 6 of 967% |
| 3 of 650% | BTTS | 1 of 911% |
| 2 of 633% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 3 of 650% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 2 of 922% |
| Total goals | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Over 0.5 | 7 of 978% |
| 4 of 667% | Over 1.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 2.5 | 1 of 911% |
| 1 of 617% | Over 3.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 3 of 650% | Scored 1+ | 5 of 956% |
| 2 of 633% | Scored 2+ | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 617% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 911% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Conceded 1+ | 3 of 933% |
| 1 of 617% | Conceded 2+ | 0 of 90% |
| 0 of 60% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 90% |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 2 of 633% | Winning at HT | 3 of 933% |
| 3 of 650% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 956% |
| 1 of 617% | Losing at HT | 1 of 911% |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 8.83 | Total corners | 6.00 |
| 4.67 | Corners for | 2.78 |
| 4.17 | Corners against | 3.22 |
| 3 of 650% | Most corners | 2 of 922% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 2 of 633% | Over 7.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 8.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 9.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 10.5 | 1 of 911% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 90% |
| 1 of 617% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 90% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 1 of 617% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 617% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 617% | For over 6.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 617% | For over 7.5 | 2 of 922% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 2 of 633% | Against over 4.5 | 4 of 944% |
| 1 of 617% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 922% |
| 1 of 617% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 911% |
| By half | ||
| 4.17 | 1H total | 2.56 |
| 2.50 | 1H for | 1.00 |
| 1.67 | 1H against | 1.56 |
| 4.83 | 2H total | 3.44 |
| 2.33 | 2H for | 1.78 |
| 2.50 | 2H against | 1.67 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.67 | Total cards | 3.33 |
| 1.17 | Cards received | 1.44 |
| 2.50 | Opponent cards | 1.89 |
| 1 of 617% | Most cards | 2 of 922% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 5 of 683% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 956% |
| 4 of 667% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 2 of 633% | Over 4.5 | 3 of 933% |
| 0 of 60% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 911% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 683% | Received 1+ | 4 of 944% |
| 1 of 617% | Received 2+ | 3 of 933% |
| 1 of 617% | Received 3+ | 2 of 922% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 6 of 6100% | Opponent 1+ | 8 of 989% |
| 5 of 683% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 978% |
| 3 of 650% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 922% |
| By half | ||
| 0.50 | 1H total | 0.89 |
| 0.33 | 1H received | 0.33 |
| 2.83 | 2H total | 2.44 |
| 0.67 | 2H received | 1.00 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 19.67 | Total shots (match) | 15.56 |
| 7.50 | Total on target (match) | 4.44 |
| 19% | On-target conversion | 32% |
Rwanda's last 6 home games and Mali's last 9 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Win | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Draw | 4 of 1040% |
| 5 of 1050% | Loss | 2 of 1020% |
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 1.30 | Points per game | 1.60 |
| -3 | Goal difference | 6 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.00 | xG per game | 0.25 |
| 0.00 | xGA per game | 0.41 |
| 11.00 | xG performance | 10.49 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 33% | Possession | 50% |
| 29.90 | Dangerous attacks | 36.90 |
| 31.70 | Dangerous attacks against | 36.60 |
| Shots | ||
| 7.80 | Shots for | 9.60 |
| 8.30 | Shots against | 8.00 |
| 3.60 | On target for | 2.70 |
| 3.10 | On target against | 2.50 |
| 14% | Shot conversion | 14% |
| 46% | On-target accuracy | 28% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 3.10 | Tackles | 12.70 |
| 8.30 | Fouls committed | 13.90 |
| 9.40 | Fouls won | 10.70 |
| 1.40 | Offsides | 1.00 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 2.50 | Goals per game (total) | 2.00 |
| 11 | Goals scored | 13 |
| 1.10 | Scored per game | 1.30 |
| 14 | Goals conceded | 7 |
| 1.40 | Conceded per game | 0.70 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Scored first | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | Failed to score | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | Clean sheet | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 5 of 1050% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 9 of 1090% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 1.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Scored 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | Scored 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Conceded 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 2+ | 0 of 100% |
| 2 of 1020% | Conceded 3+ | 0 of 100% |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Winning at HT | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 6.90 | Total corners | 8.30 |
| 2.30 | Corners for | 3.40 |
| 4.60 | Corners against | 4.90 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most corners | 3 of 1030% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Over 7.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 10.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 0 of 100% | For over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| 0 of 100% | For over 7.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Against over 4.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 3.30 | 1H total | 4.20 |
| 1.30 | 1H for | 2.30 |
| 2.00 | 1H against | 1.90 |
| 3.70 | 2H total | 4.10 |
| 1.10 | 2H for | 1.10 |
| 2.60 | 2H against | 3.00 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.80 | Total cards | 4.40 |
| 2.10 | Cards received | 2.00 |
| 1.70 | Opponent cards | 2.40 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most cards | 2 of 1020% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 4.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Received 1+ | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 5 of 1050% | Opponent 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 3 of 1030% | Opponent 3+ | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 1.30 | 1H total | 1.10 |
| 0.80 | 1H received | 0.50 |
| 2.30 | 2H total | 3.50 |
| 1.20 | 2H received | 1.50 |
| Rwanda | Stat | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 16.10 | Total shots (match) | 17.60 |
| 6.70 | Total on target (match) | 5.20 |
| 31% | On-target conversion | 48% |
Rwanda's last 10 games and Mali's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:13 UK.
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Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda | 6.261xBet | No changefrom 6.26 | 37% |
| Draw | 3.631xBet | No changefrom 3.63 | 31% |
| Mali | 1.481xBet | No changefrom 1.48 | 32% |
Prices are decimal. Updated 7 Nov, 23:11. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.