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Rwanda vs Mali

Rwanda host Mali in the Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:00. Our model makes Rwanda favourites at 37%, with a 31% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Mali won 2, Rwanda won 0 and 0 were drawn.

You're viewing an earlier meeting. Go to the latest Mali vs Rwanda match

Africa Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Save
Rwanda
19:00
17 Nov
Mali
Stade Amahoro, Kigali Referee: Lahlou Benbraham

Rwanda vs Mali preview

Rwanda have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 1.17 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Mali have scored 0.89 and conceded 0.33 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Rwanda's last 6 home games and 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Mali's last 9 away games. Rwanda's last 6 home games have averaged 8.8 corners and Mali's last 9 away games 6.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:13 UK.

  • Goals scored Rwanda: 1.00 Mali: 0.89
  • Goals conceded Rwanda: 1.17 Mali: 0.33
  • Both teams scored Rwanda: 3 of 650% Mali: 1 of 911%
  • Over 2.5 goals Rwanda: 2 of 633% Mali: 1 of 911%
  • Match corners Rwanda: 8.83 Mali: 6.00
  • Match cards Rwanda: 3.67 Mali: 3.33

Rwanda's last 6 home games and Mali's last 9 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

37%Rwanda 31%Draw 32%Mali

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Rwanda vs Mali: questions and answers

When is Rwanda vs Mali?

Rwanda vs Mali kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, at Stade Amahoro, Kigali.

Who is the favourite in Rwanda vs Mali?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Rwanda a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mali 32%.

How many goals do Rwanda and Mali games have?

Rwanda have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 1.17 across their last 6 home games in all competitions, while Mali have scored 0.89 and conceded 0.33 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Rwanda's last 6 home games and 1 of Mali's last 9 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Mali's last 9 away games.

Rwanda vs Mali stats

Rwanda2W 1D 3L · 6 home games
Mali4W 3D 2L · 9 away games
Rwanda vs Mali general stats: Rwanda's last 6 home games and Mali's last 9 away games in all competitions
RwandaStatMali
Match outcomes
2 of 633% Win 4 of 944%
1 of 617% Draw 3 of 933%
3 of 650% Loss 2 of 922%
7 Points 15
1.17 Points per game 1.67
-1 Goal difference 5
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.26
0.00 xGA per game 0.40
6.00 xG performance 5.68
Possession & attacks
41% Possession 42%
44.83 Dangerous attacks 43.22
25.67 Dangerous attacks against 32.78
Shots
12.83 Shots for 9.11
6.83 Shots against 6.44
5.17 On target for 2.78
2.33 On target against 1.67
8% Shot conversion 10%
40% On-target accuracy 30%
Tackles & fouls
2.83 Tackles 9.33
8.67 Fouls committed 11.67
9.00 Fouls won 12.11
1.33 Offsides 1.56

Rwanda's last 6 home games and Mali's last 9 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 05:13 UK.

Rwanda vs Mali lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Rwanda vs Mali form

Rwanda All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
2.2
Conceded per game
0.4
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Friendly International H Kenya 0–0 draw
  2. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications A Cape Verde Islands 2–1 win
  3. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications H Liberia 3–1 win
  4. Friendly International H Estonia 2–0 win
  5. Friendly International H Grenada 4–0 win
Mali All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Friendly International A Morocco 1–1 draw
  2. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications A Liberia 1–0 win
  3. Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications H Cape Verde Islands 3–1 win
  4. Friendly International A Iran 0–2 defeat
  5. Friendly International A Russia 0–0 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Mali vs Rwanda head to head

2 Mali wins 0 draws 0 Rwanda wins
2.0 goals per game 0% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Rwanda 19:00 Mali
  2. 13 Nov 2026Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications Mali 19:00 Rwanda
  3. 11 Nov 2021CAF World Cup Qualifiers Rwanda 0–3 Mali
  4. 1 Sep 2021CAF World Cup Qualifiers Mali 1–0 Rwanda

Rwanda vs Mali odds

Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Rwanda 6.261xBet No changefrom 6.26 37%
Draw 3.631xBet No changefrom 3.63 31%
Mali 1.481xBet No changefrom 1.48 32%

Prices are decimal. Updated 7 Nov, 23:11. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

37%Rwanda 31%Draw 32%Mali
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.