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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia 100,000 times. Boca Juniors won 63,332 of them (63.3%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Defensa y Justicia won 14.4%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.3%), and both teams score in 44.7% of simulations.
| Boca Juniors win | 63.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Defensa y Justicia win | 14.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.87 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 44.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.1% |
| Boca Juniors score first | 62.1% |
| Defensa y Justicia score first | 30.3% |
| Boca Juniors clean sheet | 47.2% |
| Defensa y Justicia clean sheet | 15.8% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano
1.4–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.3–0.7
xG
33%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Newell's Old Boys
1.4–0.8
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490314 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Boca Juniors are favourites. They win 63.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 14.4% for Defensa y Justicia. Including the draw, Boca Juniors avoid defeat 85.6% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.5%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.7% of simulations. Boca Juniors keep a clean sheet 47.2% of the time and Defensa y Justicia 15.8%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.87 for Boca Juniors and 0.76 for Defensa y Justicia. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.7% and over 3.5 goals 27.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.