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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Unión Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield 100,000 times. Unión Santa Fe won 38,607 of them (38.6%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Vélez Sarsfield won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Unión Santa Fe win is 1-0 (9.1%). Both teams score in 53.3% of simulations.
| Unión Santa Fe win | 38.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Vélez Sarsfield win | 32.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 53.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.4% |
| Unión Santa Fe score first | 46.8% |
| Vélez Sarsfield score first | 44.3% |
| Unión Santa Fe clean sheet | 29.4% |
| Vélez Sarsfield clean sheet | 26.1% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano
1.4–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.3–0.7
xG
33%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Newell's Old Boys
1.4–0.8
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490363 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Unión Santa Fe are favourites. They win 38.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 32.9% for Vélez Sarsfield. Including the draw, Unión Santa Fe avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.1%) and 0-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Unión Santa Fe win is 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.3% of simulations. Unión Santa Fe keep a clean sheet 29.4% of the time and Vélez Sarsfield 26.1%.
The simulations average 2.60 goals: 1.36 for Unión Santa Fe and 1.24 for Vélez Sarsfield. Over 1.5 goals lands 74% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.9% and over 3.5 goals 26.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.