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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys 100,000 times. Instituto won 50,760 of them (50.8%), the draw came up 30% of the time and Newell's Old Boys won 19.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.5%), and both teams score in 41.8% of simulations.
| Instituto win | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30% |
| Newell's Old Boys win | 19.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 0.77 |
| Both teams to score | 41.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Instituto score first | 59.6% |
| Newell's Old Boys score first | 27.6% |
| Instituto clean sheet | 46.4% |
| Newell's Old Boys clean sheet | 24.6% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
2.0–0.7
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano
1.4–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.7
xG
34%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490383 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Instituto are favourites. They win 50.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30% for the draw and 19.2% for Newell's Old Boys. Including the draw, Instituto avoid defeat 80.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (12.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.8% of simulations. Instituto keep a clean sheet 46.4% of the time and Newell's Old Boys 24.6%.
The simulations average 2.19 goals: 1.42 for Instituto and 0.77 for Newell's Old Boys. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37.4% and over 3.5 goals 18%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.