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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano 100,000 times. Gimnasia La Plata won 43,113 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Belgrano won 29.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Gimnasia La Plata win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 52.2% of simulations.
| Gimnasia La Plata win | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Belgrano win | 29.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 52.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Gimnasia La Plata score first | 57.7% |
| Belgrano score first | 33.8% |
| Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Belgrano clean sheet | 24.1% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.3–0.7
xG
33%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Newell's Old Boys
1.4–0.8
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490362 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gimnasia La Plata are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 29.1% for Belgrano. Including the draw, Gimnasia La Plata avoid defeat 70.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Gimnasia La Plata win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.2% of simulations. Gimnasia La Plata keep a clean sheet 32.4% of the time and Belgrano 24.1%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.44 for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.14 for Belgrano. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.5% and over 3.5 goals 26%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.