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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra 100,000 times. Independiente won 50,669 of them (50.7%), the draw came up 29.2% of the time and Deportivo Riestra won 20.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.9%), and both teams score in 37.4% of simulations.
| Independiente win | 50.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.2% |
| Deportivo Riestra win | 20.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 0.72 |
| Both teams to score | 37.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.1% |
| Independiente score first | 54.7% |
| Deportivo Riestra score first | 31.8% |
| Independiente clean sheet | 49.1% |
| Deportivo Riestra clean sheet | 27.1% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano
1.4–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Newell's Old Boys
1.4–0.8
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490381 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Independiente are favourites. They win 50.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.2% for the draw and 20.1% for Deportivo Riestra. Including the draw, Independiente avoid defeat 79.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16.9% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.6%) and 1-1 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.4% of simulations. Independiente keep a clean sheet 49.1% of the time and Deportivo Riestra 27.1%.
The simulations average 2.03 goals: 1.32 for Independiente and 0.72 for Deportivo Riestra. Over 1.5 goals lands 60.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 33.3% and over 3.5 goals 15.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.