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Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis 100,000 times. Borussia Dortmund won 57,538 of them (57.5%), the draw came up 22.1% of the time and Real Betis won 20.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations.
| Borussia Dortmund win | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Real Betis win | 20.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.08 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund score first | 65% |
| Real Betis score first | 30.3% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 31.5% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 12.9% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676171 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Borussia Dortmund are favourites. They win 57.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.1% for the draw and 20.3% for Real Betis. Including the draw, Borussia Dortmund avoid defeat 79.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet 31.5% of the time and Real Betis 12.9%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.08 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.17 for Real Betis. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.7% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.