New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
Enhanced Guides Now Live!
29 Oct 2026
I have continued to improve the general usability of the site this week, further improving the core navigation to show the guides button ac…
Context-Aware Alerts Results Added!
29 Oct 2026
When you're browsing through your triggered alerts on the new Alerts hub, you can now instantly see how the game played within the context …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Brentford vs Nottingham Forest 100,000 times. Brentford won 45,953 of them (46%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Nottingham Forest won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| Brentford win | 46% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 28.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% |
| Brentford score first | 50.6% |
| Nottingham Forest score first | 43.6% |
| Brentford clean sheet | 27.9% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 19% |
Chelsea
Manchester United
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.2–1.3
xG
69%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Sunderland
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Ipswich Town
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Fulham
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Arsenal
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665908 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brentford are favourites. They win 46% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 28.8% for Nottingham Forest. Including the draw, Brentford avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Brentford keep a clean sheet 27.9% of the time and Nottingham Forest 19%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.68 for Brentford and 1.29 for Nottingham Forest. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.