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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace 100,000 times. Tottenham Hotspur won 61,875 of them (61.9%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Crystal Palace won 17.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 53.3% of simulations.
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 61.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Crystal Palace win | 17.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 53.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% |
| Tottenham Hotspur score first | 66.3% |
| Crystal Palace score first | 28.5% |
| Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet | 38.4% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 13.5% |
Chelsea
Manchester United
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.2–1.3
xG
69%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Sunderland
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Ipswich Town
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Fulham
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Arsenal
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665899 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tottenham Hotspur are favourites. They win 61.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 17.4% for Crystal Palace. Including the draw, Tottenham Hotspur avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.3% of simulations. Tottenham Hotspur keep a clean sheet 38.4% of the time and Crystal Palace 13.5%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 2.04 for Tottenham Hotspur and 0.97 for Crystal Palace. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.