New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
Enhanced Guides Now Live!
29 Oct 2026
I have continued to improve the general usability of the site this week, further improving the core navigation to show the guides button ac…
Context-Aware Alerts Results Added!
29 Oct 2026
When you're browsing through your triggered alerts on the new Alerts hub, you can now instantly see how the game played within the context …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chelsea vs Manchester United 100,000 times. Chelsea won 52,706 of them (52.7%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Manchester United won 23.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations.
| Chelsea win | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Manchester United win | 23.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 59.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% |
| Chelsea score first | 63.9% |
| Manchester United score first | 30.5% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 30.4% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 15.4% |
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.2–1.3
xG
69%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Sunderland
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Ipswich Town
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
2.1–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Fulham
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Arsenal
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665892 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chelsea are favourites. They win 52.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 23.5% for Manchester United. Including the draw, Chelsea avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations. Chelsea keep a clean sheet 30.4% of the time and Manchester United 15.4%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.90 for Chelsea and 1.20 for Manchester United. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.