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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hull City vs Ipswich Town 100,000 times. Hull City won 39,440 of them (39.4%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Ipswich Town won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Hull City win is 2-1 (8.6%). Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
| Hull City win | 39.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Ipswich Town win | 32.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Hull City score first | 51% |
| Ipswich Town score first | 41.3% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 27.2% |
| Ipswich Town clean sheet | 23.5% |
Chelsea
Manchester United
1.9–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
2.2–1.3
xG
69%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Sunderland
1.3–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Fulham
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Arsenal
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665973 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hull City are favourites. They win 39.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 32.9% for Ipswich Town. Including the draw, Hull City avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hull City win is 2-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57% of simulations. Hull City keep a clean sheet 27.2% of the time and Ipswich Town 23.5%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.46 for Hull City and 1.32 for Ipswich Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.4% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.