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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente 100,000 times. Defensa y Justicia won 45,062 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 29.8% of the time and Independiente won 25.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14%, while the likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 29.8% and gave this exact score 14%.
| Defensa y Justicia win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.8% |
| Independiente win | 25.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 49.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.9% |
| Defensa y Justicia score first | 54.4% |
| Independiente score first | 35% |
| Defensa y Justicia clean sheet | 36.9% |
| Independiente clean sheet | 24.4% |
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Aldosivi
River Plate
0.8–1.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano
1.4–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.3–0.7
xG
33%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490385 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Defensa y Justicia are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.8% for the draw and 25.1% for Independiente. Including the draw, Defensa y Justicia avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (10.6%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations. Defensa y Justicia keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and Independiente 24.4%.
The simulations average 2.43 goals: 1.42 for Defensa y Justicia and 1.00 for Independiente. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.7% and over 3.5 goals 22.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.