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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool 100,000 times. Liverpool won 58,617 of them (58.6%), the draw came up 21.1% of the time and Fenerbahçe won 20.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 60.9% of simulations.
| Fenerbahçe win | 20.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.1% |
| Liverpool win | 58.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 2.14 |
| Both teams to score | 60.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% |
| Fenerbahçe score first | 40.4% |
| Liverpool score first | 55.5% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 12.2% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 31% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673903 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Liverpool are favourites. They win 58.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.1% for the draw and 20.3% for Fenerbahçe. Including the draw, Liverpool avoid defeat 79.7% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.9% of simulations. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet 12.2% of the time and Liverpool 31%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 1.18 for Fenerbahçe and 2.14 for Liverpool. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.