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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lens vs Como 100,000 times. Como won 41,566 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Lens won 34.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Como win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| Lens win | 34.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Como win | 41.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.64 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.8% |
| Lens score first | 41.7% |
| Como score first | 52.8% |
| Lens clean sheet | 19.7% |
| Como clean sheet | 23.4% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684464 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Como are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 34.1% for Lens. Including the draw, Como avoid defeat 65.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Como win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 19.7% of the time and Como 23.4%.
The simulations average 3.12 goals: 1.47 for Lens and 1.64 for Como. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.9% and over 3.5 goals 37.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.