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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Málaga vs Racing Santander 100,000 times. Málaga won 45,752 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Racing Santander won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Málaga win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations.
| Málaga win | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Racing Santander win | 28.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.76 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Málaga score first | 50.9% |
| Racing Santander score first | 43.3% |
| Málaga clean sheet | 26% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 17.6% |
Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Deportivo A Coruña
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Athletic Club
1.2–1.4
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Real Madrid
0.9–2.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Elche
Real Betis
1.4–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Getafe
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Levante
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654535 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Málaga are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 28.7% for Racing Santander. Including the draw, Málaga avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Málaga win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations. Málaga keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Racing Santander 17.6%.
The simulations average 3.12 goals: 1.76 for Málaga and 1.36 for Racing Santander. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.