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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés 100,000 times. Sevilla won 53,150 of them (53.2%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Deportivo Alavés won 21.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (11.8%). Both teams score in 49.5% of simulations.
| Sevilla win | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Deportivo Alavés win | 21.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 49.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% |
| Sevilla score first | 59.8% |
| Deportivo Alavés score first | 31.7% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 39.2% |
| Deportivo Alavés clean sheet | 19.7% |
Málaga
Racing Santander
1.8–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Deportivo A Coruña
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Athletic Club
1.2–1.4
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Real Madrid
0.9–2.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Elche
Real Betis
1.4–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Getafe
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Levante
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654543 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sevilla are favourites. They win 53.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 21.1% for Deportivo Alavés. Including the draw, Sevilla avoid defeat 78.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.1%). The likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.5% of simulations. Sevilla keep a clean sheet 39.2% of the time and Deportivo Alavés 19.7%.
The simulations average 2.59 goals: 1.65 for Sevilla and 0.94 for Deportivo Alavés. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.8% and over 3.5 goals 26.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.