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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Osasuna vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. Athletic Club won 39,223 of them (39.2%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Osasuna won 32.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Athletic Club win is 0-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| Osasuna win | 32.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Athletic Club win | 39.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.20 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% |
| Osasuna score first | 43.1% |
| Athletic Club score first | 47.9% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 30.4% |
Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Racing Santander
1.8–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Deportivo A Coruña
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Real Madrid
0.9–2.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Elche
Real Betis
1.4–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Getafe
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Levante
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654539 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletic Club are favourites. They win 39.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 32.3% for Osasuna. Including the draw, Athletic Club avoid defeat 67.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-0 (9%). The likeliest Athletic Club win is 0-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. Osasuna keep a clean sheet 26.3% of the time and Athletic Club 30.4%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.20 for Osasuna and 1.35 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 73% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.8% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.