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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Valencia vs Real Madrid 100,000 times. Real Madrid won 69,965 of them (70%), the draw came up 16.8% of the time and Valencia won 13.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.3%), and both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.
| Valencia win | 13.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.8% |
| Real Madrid win | 70% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.93 – 2.40 |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.5% |
| Valencia score first | 24.6% |
| Real Madrid score first | 72.1% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 9.4% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 39.9% |
Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Racing Santander
1.8–1.4
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Deportivo A Coruña
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Athletic Club
1.2–1.4
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Elche
Real Betis
1.4–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Getafe
2.0–0.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Levante
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654554 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid are favourites. They win 70% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.8% for the draw and 13.3% for Valencia. Including the draw, Real Madrid avoid defeat 86.8% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. Valencia keep a clean sheet 9.4% of the time and Real Madrid 39.9%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 0.93 for Valencia and 2.40 for Real Madrid. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.2% and over 3.5 goals 42.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.