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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Norwich City vs Watford 100,000 times. Norwich City won 62,567 of them (62.6%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and Watford won 15.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Norwich City win | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| Watford win | 15.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.6% |
| Norwich City score first | 67.7% |
| Watford score first | 26.7% |
| Norwich City clean sheet | 38.6% |
| Watford clean sheet | 12.6% |
Sheffield United
Wrexham
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Preston North End
1.8–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lincoln City
Birmingham City
1.2–1.6
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Cardiff City
2.0–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Bristol City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Derby County
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644079 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Norwich City are favourites. They win 62.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 15.7% for Watford. Including the draw, Norwich City avoid defeat 84.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Norwich City keep a clean sheet 38.6% of the time and Watford 12.6%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 2.10 for Norwich City and 0.96 for Watford. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.8% and over 3.5 goals 36.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.