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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sheffield United vs Wrexham 100,000 times. Sheffield United won 44,213 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Wrexham won 28.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Sheffield United win is 1-0 (9.5%). Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations.
| Sheffield United win | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Wrexham win | 28.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Sheffield United score first | 52.7% |
| Wrexham score first | 38.9% |
| Sheffield United clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 22.6% |
Stoke City
Preston North End
1.8–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lincoln City
Birmingham City
1.2–1.6
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Norwich City
Watford
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Cardiff City
2.0–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Bristol City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Derby County
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644063 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sheffield United are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 28.1% for Wrexham. Including the draw, Sheffield United avoid defeat 71.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Sheffield United win is 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations. Sheffield United keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Wrexham 22.6%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.51 for Sheffield United and 1.15 for Wrexham. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.