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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City 100,000 times. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 57,011 of them (57%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Cardiff City won 19.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 57% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Cardiff City win | 19.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.2% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers score first | 60.8% |
| Cardiff City score first | 33.9% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet | 32.5% |
| Cardiff City clean sheet | 13.5% |
Sheffield United
Wrexham
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Preston North End
1.8–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lincoln City
Birmingham City
1.2–1.6
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Norwich City
Watford
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Bristol City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Derby County
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643774 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wolverhampton Wanderers are favourites. They win 57% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 19.9% for Cardiff City. Including the draw, Wolverhampton Wanderers avoid defeat 80.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Wolverhampton Wanderers keep a clean sheet 32.5% of the time and Cardiff City 13.5%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 2.04 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.14 for Cardiff City. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.2% and over 3.5 goals 39.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.