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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers 100,000 times. Swansea City won 53,126 of them (53.1%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Blackburn Rovers won 20.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Swansea City win is 1-0 (10.9%). Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.
| Swansea City win | 53.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Blackburn Rovers win | 20.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.5% |
| Swansea City score first | 56.9% |
| Blackburn Rovers score first | 34.7% |
| Swansea City clean sheet | 38.6% |
| Blackburn Rovers clean sheet | 19% |
Sheffield United
Wrexham
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Preston North End
1.8–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lincoln City
Birmingham City
1.2–1.6
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Norwich City
Watford
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Cardiff City
2.0–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Bristol City
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Derby County
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643766 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Swansea City are favourites. They win 53.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 20.5% for Blackburn Rovers. Including the draw, Swansea City avoid defeat 79.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. Swansea City keep a clean sheet 38.6% of the time and Blackburn Rovers 19%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.68 for Swansea City and 0.96 for Blackburn Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.1% and over 3.5 goals 27.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.