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UEFA Champions League · 100,000 simulations

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction

We simulated RB Leipzig vs Manchester City 100,000 times. Manchester City won 57,873 of them (57.9%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and RB Leipzig won 21.5%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.1%), and both teams score in 66.4% of simulations.

RB Leipzig badge
RB Leipzig Red Bull Arena
Wednesday 4 November
Manchester City badge
Manchester City Away
21.5% 21,476 wins
20.7% Draw
57.9% 57,873 wins
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.29
Likeliest score
1-2 9.1%
Both score
66.4%
Over 2.5
70%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Marco Guida Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City lineups, team news & head to head

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Champions League · Wednesday 4 November, 20:00

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City simulation probabilities
RB Leipzig win21.5%
Draw20.7%
Manchester City win57.9%
Most likely score1-2 (9.1%)
Expected goals1.35 – 2.29
Both teams to score66.4%
Over 1.5 goals87.9%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49.1%
RB Leipzig score first38.7%
Manchester City score first58%
RB Leipzig clean sheet10.5%
Manchester City clean sheet26.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420673899
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction FAQs

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Manchester City are favourites. They win 57.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 21.5% for RB Leipzig. Including the draw, Manchester City avoid defeat 78.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

1-2, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.6%) and 1-3 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Both teams score in 66.4% of simulations. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet 10.5% of the time and Manchester City 26.4%.

How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

The simulations average 3.64 goals: 1.35 for RB Leipzig and 2.29 for Manchester City. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.