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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AC Milan vs Inter 100,000 times. Inter won 48,321 of them (48.3%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and AC Milan won 26.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Inter win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations.
| AC Milan win | 26.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Inter win | 48.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| AC Milan score first | 44.4% |
| Inter score first | 49.8% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 17% |
| Inter clean sheet | 28.2% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1.6–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669073 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter are favourites. They win 48.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 26.5% for AC Milan. Including the draw, Inter avoid defeat 73.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.7% of simulations. AC Milan keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Inter 28.2%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.28 for AC Milan and 1.79 for Inter. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.1% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.