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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Frosinone vs Torino 100,000 times. Frosinone won 43,098 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Torino won 32.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Frosinone win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations.
| Frosinone win | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Torino win | 32.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 67.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Frosinone score first | 53.2% |
| Torino score first | 42.4% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 20.7% |
| Torino clean sheet | 16.2% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1.6–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669117 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Frosinone are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 32.7% for Torino. Including the draw, Frosinone avoid defeat 67.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Frosinone win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations. Frosinone keep a clean sheet 20.7% of the time and Torino 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.44 goals: 1.85 for Frosinone and 1.59 for Torino. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.5% and over 3.5 goals 45%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.