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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Juventus vs Napoli 100,000 times. Juventus won 41,532 of them (41.5%), the draw came up 28.5% of the time and Napoli won 30%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Juventus win is 1-0 (8.8%). Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations.
| Juventus win | 41.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Napoli win | 30% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Juventus score first | 48.5% |
| Napoli score first | 43.4% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 30.3% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 23.7% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1.6–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669012 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 41.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.5% for the draw and 30% for Napoli. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Juventus win is 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations. Juventus keep a clean sheet 30.3% of the time and Napoli 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.46 for Juventus and 1.21 for Napoli. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.