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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 100,000 times. Fiorentina won 39,678 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Sassuolo won 35.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 66.1% of simulations.
| Sassuolo win | 35.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Fiorentina win | 39.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 66.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.9% |
| Sassuolo score first | 47.2% |
| Fiorentina score first | 48.2% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 18.4% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 20.1% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668923 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fiorentina are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 35.9% for Sassuolo. Including the draw, Fiorentina avoid defeat 64.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.1% of simulations. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet 18.4% of the time and Fiorentina 20.1%.
The simulations average 3.34 goals: 1.63 for Sassuolo and 1.72 for Fiorentina. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.6% and over 3.5 goals 42.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.